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Monday, June 27, 2011

ICVL invites bids for consultants to Indonesia Steel Plant

International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd (ICVL), set up by a clutch of PSUs to acquire overseas coal resources, has invited expressions of interest (EoI) from global consultants to conduct a feasibility study for an integrated steel plant in Indonesia. The last date for submitting the bids to the tender is July 19, 2011. ICVL has recently initiated talks to set up a three million tonne (mt) steel plant in Indonesia alongwith the SAIL at a total investment of 15,000 crore.

For ICVL, a special purpose vehicle set up by the government to acquire coal companies, mines assets and blocks abroad, this marks perhaps the first tangible progress in pursuing an overseas mineral project. While the company has bid for a few assets across the world it has not been able to close any deal so far despite having an acquisition kitty of close to 10,000 crore. The latest project is, in fact, part of growing bilateral economic relations between India and Indonesia. Earlier, ICVL had signed a MoU for developing mineral assets and processing units in central Kalimantan.

ICVL is promoted by steel majors Steel Authority of India Ltd , Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd ( RINL), large miners like Coal India and NMDC Ltd and power giant NTPC Ltd. Its main objective is to supplement the current shortfall in coking coal estimated to be around 80 MT.

The feasibility study will be conducted initially in two stages, according to the tender called by ICVL.

A pre-feasibility study in stage one will be followed by a detailed feasibility study for the project in the second stage. ICVL wants to appoint a global consultant to conduct a study for mineral deposits. The consultant will also prepare a conceptual report on an integrated steel plant in Central Kalimantan. The consultant will be required to formulate a strategy for setting up a high capacity coking coal mine, iron ore, limestone and dolomite mines at prospective locations identified in Central Kalimantan province of Indonesia.

The consultant will also have to offer strategy inputs on logistics support, arrangements for flow of raw materials in Central Kalimantan and flow of surplus raw materials to India, infrastructure support and arrangements for transportation of finished goods. After discussing the strategy with ICVL, the consultant will be asked to take up exploration job.

For the steel plant the consultant would take up topographical survey, soil testing, as well as land survey and land permit. Source: Economic Times

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 24 Juni 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Jumat 24 Juni 2011.
Kode saham                   Volume                         Jual                       Beli
AALI 1.028.000 486.000 640.500
ACES 17.500 0 17.500
ADHI 3.401.000 0 55.000
ADRO 32.325.000 7.291.000 15.892.000
AKRA 18.023.500 4.567.000 9.223.000
ANTM 18.631.000 1.255.500 4.585.500
ASGR 7.057.000 50.000 559.500
ASII 2.960.000 802.500 2.017.500
AUTO 551.500 5.000 25.000
BBCA 14.550.500 7.613.500 7.806.500
BBLD 365.000 0 200.000
BBNI 18.345.000 2.212.000 6.460.500
BBRI 23.044.000 667.500 15.452.000
BBTN 21.739.000 24.500 11.430.000
BDMN 2.310.000 533.000 1.579.000
BHIT 43.941.000 5.750.000 14.197.500
BIPI 9.330.000 0 3.074.500
BISI 4.307.500 0 300.000
BJBR 18.519.500 55.000 2.125.000
BMRI 17.992.500 3.604.000 7.597.000
BNII 720.500 105.000 220.000
BSDE 8.387.000 0 5.087.000
BTEL 19.420.500 1.982.500 3.109.000
BYAN 275.500 135.000 200.500
CMNP 11.597.500 42.500 1.474.000
CPIN 27.827.000 2.804.500 16.936.500
DILD 4.842.500 447.000 1.775.000
DOID 14.820.500 12.500 2.805.000
DSSA 53.500 0 26.000
EKAD 48.041.500 125.000 774.000
ELSA 9.253.000 0 4.079.000
EMDE 9.970.500 0 5.500.000
ENRG 340.706.000 7.250.000 66.927.500
FISH 138.000 0 129.000
GGRM 663.000 200.000 467.000
GJTL 4.283.000 361.500 1.339.500
HEXA 285.500 0 87.500
HRUM 3.073.500 108.500 1.210.500
ICBP 6.876.500 1.214.500 1.599.500
IMAS 637.000 0 105.000
INCO 2.519.000 504.000 690.000
INDF 7.488.000 663.000 4.259.000
INDY 5.140.000 146.000 2.019.500
INTP 2.987.500 648.000 2.393.500
IPOL 95.701.000 1.562.500 7.500.000
ISAT 6.967.000 1.949.500 4.131.500
KAEF 116.798.000 750.000 9.719.500
KIAS 387.500 0 7.500
KIJA 29.824.500 0 9.500.000
KKGI 148.500 60.000 128.500
KLBF 11.834.500 762.500 2.770.000
KRAS 12.352.000 0 100.000
KREN 8.984.000 0 10.000
LPKR 180.654.000 12.563.500 71.983.000
LSIP 15.357.000 2.372.500 3.089.000
MAIN 3.794.500 0 17.500
MAPI 1.654.500 434.000 880.500
MASA 9.372.000 651.500 740.000
MIDI 334.000 0 9.500
MIRA 76.851.000 0 500.000
MYOR 240.000 62.500 127.500
PBRX 16.941.500 0 500.000
PGAS 19.639.500 12.039.500 13.238.000
POLY 15.485.500 0 320.000
PTPP 3.496.000 0 1.209.000
PTSP 102.000 0 50.000
PWON 8.527.000 0 85.500
RALS 906.000 0 649.500
SCMA 55.500 1.000 43.000
SGRO 5.253.500 0 619.000
SIMP 26.852.000 500 20.698.000
SMGR 2.223.000 244.500 1.206.500
TBIG 2.177.500 513.000 633.000
TBLA 3.123.500 0 337.500
TLKM 15.086.500 5.024.500 7.965.500
TURI 38.791.500 410.000 10.804.000
UNSP 61.464.000 5.000.000 8.406.000
UNTR 4.289.500 202.000 1.345.500
UNVR 2.599.000 349.500 1.121.500
WIKA 2.415.500 0 1.304.500
WINS 7.001.000 0 600.000

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 27 Juni 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Senin, 27 Juni 2011.
BUY: (ITMG, BBRI, GJTL, TLKM)
  • Koreksi minor akibat imbas regional dapat digunakan sebagai kesempatan memposisikan diri untuk technical rebound yanga akan menembus all time high IHSG di 3.880. 
  • Dalam proses mendekati all time high, biasanya emiten lapis dua dengan fundamental yang kuat mulai aktif.
  • IHSG close (24-06) 3.848.56(+24.91/+0.65%) (Val.Rp.3.4T) 
  • Support: 3.810-3.770, Resistance: 3,880-3.950
 
Stock picks:
1.     Indo Tambang Raya (ITMG) (BUY) (Target Rp 46.000) (Close 24/06 Rp 44.900)
  • Kenaikan harga batubara New Castle ke $121/ton dari $119 dan penurunan minyak mentah (hal ini menurunkan harga diesel yang dipakai dalam proses produksi dan transportasi batubara) sangat menguntungkan bahwa ITMG yang mayoritas pangsa ekspor dan mempunyai biaya produksi yang paling mahal di sektornya.
  • Entry (1) Rp 44.500, Entry (2) Rp 44.000, Cut loss point: Rp 43.400
 
2.    Bank BRI (BBRI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 6.600) (Close 22/06 Rp 6.350)
  • Bila terjadi pullback akibat imbas sentimen regional yang terkoreksi mendekati lower end formasi triangle rekomen akumulasi untuk antisipasi breakout yang akan terjadi dengan target proyeksi Rp 6.600.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 6.350, Entry (2) Rp 6.250, Cut loss point: Rp 6.150
 
3.   Gajah Tunggal (GJTL) (BUY): (Target: Rp 3.250) (Close 24/06 Rp 3.050)
  • Valuasi PER 2011 (7x) dan profitabilitas persero cukup tinggi (ROE 2011 23%) membuat GJTL menjadi pilihan saham lapis dua yang kudu di akumulasi menjelang proses perjalanan IHSG untuk mendekati atau menembus all time high di 3.880.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 3.000, Entry (2) Rp 2.925, Cut loss point: Rp 2.825
 
4.       Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM) (BUY): (Target: Rp 7.450) (Close 24/06 Rp 7.250)
  • Program buy back saham oleh pemerintah di big cap index dengan valuasi PER 2011 termurah (9x) dapat menahan downside bila terjadi koreksi sehingga rekomen akumulasi untuk proses penutupan price gap atas di Rp 7.400.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 7.150, Entry (2) Rp 6.950, Cut loss point: Rp 6.850
 
 
Dibuat oleh: 
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Friday, June 24, 2011

Indonesia Stocks May Extend Winning Streak

The Indonesian stock market picked up less than a pair of points on Thursday - but that was enough to extend its winning streak to four sessions, gathering nearly 100 points or 2.7 percent in that span. The Jakarta Composite Index finished just below the 3,825-point plateau, and now analysts are suggesting that the market may have a bit more upside left in it at the opening of trade on Friday.

The global forecast for the Asian markets is conflicted, pitting optimism regarding the Greek debt crisis against pessimism regarding U.S. economic data. Crude oil stocks are expected to see considerable pressure, along with gold and property stocks - while airlines, technology, retail and telecom stocks are expected to rise. The European markets finished sharply lower and the U.S. bourses were mixed, and the Asian markets figure to follow the latter lead.

The JCI finished barely higher on Thursday, nudged into the green by gains from the pharmaceuticals and telecoms.

For the day, the index added 1.82 points or 0.05 percent to finish at 3,823.65 after trading between 3,801.70 and 3,829.63. Volume was 7.6 billion shares worth 3.9 trillion rupiah. There were 103 gainers and 103 decliners.

Among the gainers, Kimia Farma surged 24.4 percent, while Indofarma spiked 17.1 percent, Multistrada Arah Sarana added 1.9 percent and Tower Bersama Infrastructure collected 4.4 percent.

The lead from Wall Street provides little clarity as stocks staged a significant recovery in late-day trading on Thursday after a weak start, ending the session mixed. Reports about a deal on Greece's austerity plan helped to offset concerns about the economic outlook.

The early weakness on Wall Street was partly in reaction to the Federal Reserve's downwardly revised economic growth outlook, which was released late in the day on Wednesday. Indicating that the economic recovery is continuing at a somewhat slower than expected pace, the Fed downwardly revised its growth outlook for 2011 and 2012.

Additional selling pressure was generated by the release of a report from the Labor Department showing a notable increase in initial jobless claims in the week ended June 18.
Resource stocks helped to lead the way lower amid a sell-off in the commodities markets. The price of oil fell by more than $4 a barrel on news that the International Energy Agency plans to release 60 million barrels of oil onto the world market.

However, buying interest emerged later in the trading day after reports that Greece has won the consent of a group of inspectors from the European Union and International Monetary Fund regarding its new five-year austerity plan. The inspectors approved the plan after Greece committed to an additional round of tax rises and spending cuts. While the reported deal has generated some optimism about the outlook for the financial situation in Greece, the austerity measures still must be approved by the Greek parliament. Source: RRT News

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 23 Juni 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Kamis 23 Juni 2011.
Kode Saham                         Volume                     Jual                      Beli
AALI 746,000 73,000 632,500
ADHI 1,553,000 5,000 111,000
ADMG 93,891,500 255,000 1,010,000
AKRA 28,258,500 4,748,000 9,185,500
AMRT 110,000 0 107,500
ANTM 13,502,000 335,500 902,500
APLN 6,462,500 0 50,000
ASGR 859,000 0 200,000
ASII 4,411,000 1,459,500 2,131,000
AUTO 218,000 2,500 10,000
BBCA 10,342,500 3,165,500 5,613,000
BBNI 9,376,500 340,500 5,345,500
BBRI 26,424,000 6,256,500 14,919,000
BDMN 3,894,500 122,000 897,500
BHIT 51,414,000 7,127,000 22,814,500
BKSL 9,948,500 0 1,000,000
BMRI 17,419,500 6,753,000 7,722,500
BMTR 10,079,500 986,000 4,827,500
BNBR 207,156,000 92,500 961,000
BNGA 342,000 0 37,000
BNII 465,000 50,000 120,000
BRAU 16,371,500 0 10,000
BTEL 21,365,500 0 4,843,500
BTPN 106,000 0 71,500
BULL 44,627,000 50,000 100,000
BUMI 58,512,500 12,598,500 22,150,000
BYAN 270,500 117,000 162,000
CLPI 16,947,000 65,000 353,500
CPIN 12,105,500 15,500 9,315,000
CTRP 3,669,500 2,000,000 3,143,500
ELTY 150,704,000 25,000 35,968,500
EMTK 66,000 0 37,500
ENRG 572,989,500 29,746,500 75,800,000
FISH 246,500 0 180,500
GGRM 343,000 179,000 232,500
GJTL 5,003,500 137,500 1,764,500
HEXA 327,500 0 93,500
HRUM 5,362,500 113,000 1,095,000
ICBP 3,766,500 56,000 2,039,000
INDS 11,502,500 18,500 510,500
INDY 7,204,500 847,000 5,286,500
INTP 602,500 131,500 318,000
IPOL 96,493,000 137,500 9,075,000
ISAT 3,667,000 533,000 889,500
ITMG 242,000 20,500 66,500
JKON 51,500 0 50,000
JSMR 3,888,000 1,181,500 2,288,500
JTPE 12,209,000 2,500 400,500
KAEF 102,853,500 1,750,000 20,000,000
KIJA 11,814,000 500,000 4,159,500
KKGI 788,000 16,500 390,000
LPKR 132,882,000 27,500 66,679,500
LSIP 24,288,000 14,287,000 16,942,500
MAPI 987,500 149,500 178,000
MBSS 3,673,000 0 110,000
MDRN 154,000 0 154,000
META 525,500 0 502,000
MIDI 593,500 0 68,000
MITI 3,498,500 0 1,316,500
MYOR 103,000 8,500 101,500
PBRX 8,631,500 0 1,000,000
PTPP 4,200,000 0 4,000,000
RALS 7,258,500 3,500,000 3,902,000
SDRA 18,355,000 0 600,000
SIMP 19,951,500 0 15,247,500
SMGR 2,076,000 335,500 1,048,000
SMRA 9,117,500 3,089,000 7,991,500
SULI 2,581,000 0 500,000
TBLA 6,677,500 10,000 186,000
TURI 21,522,500 25,000 5,025,000
UNTR 4,565,000 679,000 1,358,000
WIKA 535,000 0 56,500
WINS 598,000 0 50,500

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 24 Juni 2011

 Rekomendasi beberapa sekuritas untuk perdagangan Jumat, 24 Juni 2011.
1. E-Trading Securities
Perdagangan kemarin, indeks naik 1 poin (0,05%) ke level 3.823. Investor asing membukukan net buying Rp 288 miliar.  Secara teknikal, IHSG hari ini berpotensi melemah, karena candlestick membentuk pola spinning top di puncak yang mengindikasikan bearish reversal. Kisarannya berada di range 3.794–3.843. Amati TINS dan ANTM.

2. Kresna Sekurindo
Sentimen global kembali membuat indeks konsolidasi dengan 3.789 sebagai support kunci. Hari ini IHSG diperkirakan bergerak di kisaran 3.800-3.855 dengan UNVR dan BDMN sebagai saham pilihan.

3. Indo Premier Securities
Kurang transparannya kebijakan moneter yang akan diterapkan The Fed pasca-quantitative easing II membuat bursa saham dunia kembali turun. Namun, indeks saham domestik naik, karena investor enggan meninggalkan pasar dan mulai mengakumulasi sejumlah saham.  Untuk hari ini, indeks diperkirakan dipengaruhi berita positif dari Yunani.  Kisarannya di level 3.700-3.825 dengan BMRI, BORN sebagai stock picks.

Outlook Saham Bulan Juni oleh HD Capital

Monthly Strategy-June (24-06-2011) (BUY):
"Masih optimistis akan arah IHSG"

  • Potensi retracement ke 3.900 di bulan Juli: Secara technical walaupun weekly MACD sudah memberikan SELL signal crossover, namun biasanya kenaikan (retracement) ke atas sebesar 200-point selama 2 minggu dapat terjadi untuk memberikan kesempatan trading.

  • Domestic factor: Fundamental ekonomi seperti penguatan rupiah, inflasi terkendali membuat ancaman kenaikan BBM dan BI rate semakin kecil sehingga dana asing masih akan mengalir masuk dan liquiditas domestic di bursa masih mengalir.


  • Regional: Krisis Yunani yang menyebabkan penurunan kemarin mulai mereda dan sikap Fed yang realistis namun masih optimistis (mengakui bahwa ekonomi melambat sehingga membiarkan zero rate policy hingga akhir tahun dengan skenario pemulihan ekonomi akan lambat laun terjadi) terhadap perekonomian AS dan global memberikan kepastian situasi yang jelas terhadap investor.

  • Rekomendasi Portofolio & Target Price 1-bulan:

 





Ticker
 TP 1 bln
PER11F
PBV11F
ROE11F
ASII
Rp 61.500
12x
3.5x
31%
BMRI
Rp 7.200
11x
2.6x
26%
BBCA
Rp 7.400
22x
4x
22%
PGAS
Rp 4.200
11x
5x
50%
BBRI
Rp 6.500
12x
3x
31%
UNSP
Rp 460
6x
0.7x
11%
UNTR
Rp23.800
16x
4x
29%




Dibuat oleh:

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research HD Capital.

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 24 Juni 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Jumat, 24 Juni 2011.
BUY: ENRG, TLKM, BUMI, GJTL

  • Keberhasilan IHSG bertahan di atas resistance lama Fibonacci 61.8% (3.815) walaupun terimbas koerksi regional menandakan bahwa akan terjadi full retracement rally ke all time high lama di 3.880.


  • Grup Bakrie dan beberapa saham lapis dua dengan fundamental yang cukup prospektif belum naik signifikan.


  • IHSG close (23-06) 3.832.683(+1.629/+0.43%) (Val.Rp.3.2T)

  • Support: 3.770-3.730, Resistance: 3,880-3.950

 

Stock picks:

1.      Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM) (BUY) (Target Rp 7.450) (Close 23/06 Rp 7.200)

  • Saham blue chip dengan kapitalisasi paling besar yang diperdagangkan dengan valuasi termurah adalah TLKM: PER 2011 (9.49x), PBV (2.4x) sehingga pelaku pasar mulai ikut dalam proses perbaikan tren menuju price gap atas di Rp 7.350-7.400 yang belum ditutup.


  • Entry (1) Rp 7.150, Entry (2) Rp 7.000, Cut loss point: Rp 6.850


 

2.    Energi Mega Persada (ENRG) (BUY): (Target: Rp 235) (Close 22/06: Rp 210)

  • Earnings recovery story dan gambaran technical menarik (pattern higher low, daily stochastic cross up buy diatas 50-line) memberikan bayak upside untuk saham lapis dua ini yang kelihatannya akan mencoba break high di atas Rp 215.


  • Entry (1) Rp 200, Entry (2) Rp 190, Cut-loss point: Rp 187




3.    Bumi Resources (BUMI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 3.375) (Close 23/06 Rp 3.250)

  • Akumulasi oleh pelaku pasar yang didorong oleh proyeksi laba 2011-2012 yang optimis didukung oleh harga ASP dan volume produksi batubara sesuai ekspektasi menggagalkan usaha untuk menutup price gap bawah di 3.125 dan sekarang arah berubah untuk retrace atas ke 50-days moving average di 3.375


  • Entry: (1) Rp 3.175, Entry (2) Rp 3.100, Cut loss point: Rp 2.975

 




4.   Gajah Tunggal (GJTL) (BUY): (Target: Rp 3.250) (Close 23/06 Rp 2.975).


  • Secara technical terjadi crossover buy oleh moving average 5 dan 10 harian, daily stochastic lima harian bergerak nukik ke 50-line, yang kurang cuma tinggal penutupan di atas high kemarin (Rp 3.050), bila itu terjadi maka tren jangka pendek berubah naik untuk target berikutnya di Rp 3.250.


  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.950, Entry (2) Rp 2.850, Cut loss point: Rp 2.725


 

Dibuat oleh: 

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Thursday, June 23, 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 22 Juni 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Rabu 22 Juni 2011.
Kode saham                      Volume                    Jual                           Beli
AALI 442,500 92,500 276,000
ADRO 16,782,500 3,840,500 9,583,000
AKRA 23,416,000 3,348,000 8,169,500
AMRT 117,000 0 93,000
ANTM 14,698,500 65,500 3,359,000
APLN 2,023,500 0 373,500
ASGR 1,627,500 35,000 200,000
ASII 3,265,500 195,500 2,571,500
ASRI 12,005,000 2,500,000 5,292,000
BBCA 15,876,500 7,651,500 8,118,500
BBKP 3,686,000 958,000 2,161,500
BBNI 20,266,500 3,960,000 9,507,500
BBRI 23,915,500 4,409,000 19,900,500
BBTN 10,007,500 255,000 6,918,500
BDMN 1,720,500 406,000 599,500
BHIT 176,544,500 31,922,500 39,078,000
BMRI 18,501,000 1,187,500 6,474,000
BMTR 6,405,500 67,000 2,434,500
BNBR 438,407,500 25,000 2,337,000
BNGA 638,500 4,000 24,000
BNII 786,000 0 314,000
BRAU 30,243,000 1,050,000 1,119,000
BRMS 9,418,500 10,000 1,471,500
BSDE 9,617,000 0 1,298,500
BTPN 108,500 0 39,000
BUMI 114,580,500 5,345,000 47,768,500
BWPT 18,429,500 353,500 6,078,500
BYAN 282,000 47,500 253,000
CLPI 20,778,000 0 334,500
CPIN 12,908,500 971,500 4,793,500
CTRA 500,000 0 230,000
CTRP 1,378,500 0 528,000
DAVO 21,501,000 0 210,000
ELTY 308,078,500 11,000,000 12,794,500
EMDE 4,015,000 0 799,000
EMTK 240,000 0 145,000
ENRG 471,495,500 11,855,000 130,312,000
GIAA 10,140,500 0 236,500
GJTL 5,672,000 62,000 218,500
HEXA 2,238,500 0 640,500
HRUM 2,214,500 40,500 1,661,500
ICBP 4,176,500 1,169,000 3,098,000
IDKM 197,500 0 162,000
INDF 16,144,000 2,473,000 11,404,500
INDY 12,732,000 2,905,500 5,504,000
INTP 1,506,500 187,000 1,202,000
INVS 328,500 217,000 289,500
IPOL 127,166,000 390,000 3,750,000
ISAT 856,500 50,000 568,000
JSMR 12,024,500 59,000 4,380,500
KAEF 10,210,500 0 250,000
KIJA 9,667,500 1,300,000 3,500,000
KKGI 274,500 27,500 183,500
KLBF 10,182,000 263,000 822,500
KRAS 7,692,000 0 493,500
LPKR 201,249,000 11,815,000 73,410,500
MAIN 4,969,500 0 106,500
MBSS 5,178,500 0 107,000
MDRN 90,500 15,000 83,500
MPPA 1,630,000 0 275,000
MYOR 1,579,000 969,500 1,105,500
PGAS 10,120,000 2,665,000 4,463,000
PTBA 2,671,000 617,500 787,000
PTPP 5,449,500 0 3,910,000
RALS 4,265,000 220,000 1,934,000
ROTI 95,000 50,000 87,500
SCMA 475,000 11,500 253,500
SGRO 1,911,500 0 183,500
SIMP 39,712,500 2,750,000 22,773,000
SMRA 5,372,000 841,500 1,994,000
TBIG 4,097,000 172,500 3,331,000
TCID 34,000 0 33,000
TPIA 424,500 94,000 230,000
TURI 11,704,500 0 5,000,000
UNSP 91,857,500 7,500 3,800,000
UNTR 5,878,500 291,500 2,196,500
UNVR 757,500 124,500 262,000
WINS 4,168,000 103,500 2,823,000