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Friday, May 20, 2011

Saham yang Dominan Dibeli Asing per 20 Mei 2011

Berikut ini saham-saham dimana asing lebih dominan beli daripada jual (transaksi Jumat, 20 Mei 2011.

Kode Saham          Volume                      Sell                                  Buy

AALI                      2,621,500                          318,000                                   813,000
ADMF                        57,000                                    00                                     15,500
AKRA                 12,651,500                                     00                                   206,000
AMAG                12,115,000                                     00                                1,830,500
APLN                   11,891,500                                    00                                7,406,000
ASII                        6,637,500                        2,674,500                                3,848,000
BBCA                   10,123,500                        3,965,000                                6,323,000
BJBR                       9,171,000                                    00                                   150,000
BKSW                         147,500                                    00                                   133,500
BNBA                         328,500                                   00                                    150,000
BTEL                     11,047,500                           217,500                                1,500,000
BTPN                          524,500                                    00                                   381,000
BUMI                    52,717,000                         6,163,000                              14,697,500
BWPT                     10,558,500                       1,835,500                                 3,153,000
CMNP                    66,919,000                        2,020,000                                5,035,000
CTRA                     17,040,000                      11,941,500                                3,180,500
ENRG                   371,380,000                      10,511,500                              17,050,000
EXCL                        8,148,000                        2,076,500                                2,397,000
GJTL                       17,278,500                           898,500                              10,998,000
ICBP                          7,670,000                        3,439,500                                5,757,500
INCO                       12,188,000                        2,303,000                                4,681,000
INRU                            505,500                                   00                                    498,500
INTA6,086,5006,000277,000
INTP                          4,432,000                           959,000                                2,169,000
INVS                             297,000                           148,500                                   224,500
IPOL12,445,500003,000,000
ISAT832,000470,500737,500
JPFA                              517,000                                    00                                     93,500
KAEF                         5,896,000                             50,000                                 2,000,000
PWON                      14,533,500                               5,000                                    974,500
RALS                             950,000                            33,000                                     125,500
SCMA                           256,000                                    00                                     165,000
SDRA                         8,769,000                                   00                                   1,000,000
SMGR                      20,454,500                          259,000                                 11,003,500
SMRA                         3,306,000                          823,000                                   2,104,500
SULI                          3,371,500                                   00                                      100,000
TBIG1,243,00000433,000
TBLA8,241,50000500,500
TKIM                            428,500                                  00                                         44,500
TLKM13,754,0008,509,5003,415,000
TPIA                               206,000                           36,500                                         40,000
TRIO                              196,500                                  00                                       125,000
TSPC                                363,000                         20,000                                       336,500
TURI2,111,00000190,500
UNTR                            6,960,000                    1,940,500                                    3,269,500

Tiger Air Seeks More Tie-Ups to Expand Asia Network After Indonesia Deal

Tiger Airways Holdings Ltd. (TGR), the Singapore-based budget carrier, said it may seek more overseas partnerships after agreeing to take stakes in airlines in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines. 

“We think our franchise is well established” in Singapore, Chief Executive Officer Tony Davis said in a Bloomberg TV interview in the city-state today. “Our objective now is to take that franchise around Asia.” 

The carrier, part-owned by Singapore Airlines Ltd., yesterday announced plans to buy a 33 percent stake in Indonesia-based PT Mandala Airlines as it competes with AirAsia Bhd for budget travelers across Southeast Asia. It also reported a 94 percent drop in fourth-quarter profit after its Australian unit suffered from tax charges and a slowdown in demand. 

“Tiger’s expansion into developing economies may further lower its cost base as operating expenses are lower in these countries,” Rigan Wong, an analyst at Citigroup Inc., said in a note today. “Tiger Australia may continue to be impacted by uncertain demand recovery and rising competition.” Wong has a “buy” rating on Tiger. 

The airline fell as much as 2.6 percent in Singapore trading, the biggest intraday decline in more than two weeks. It was down 1.3 percent at S$1.53 as of 9:42 a.m.

Tiger Australia

Tiger will keep its capacity in Australia unchanged this year, while boosting operations in Singapore 40 percent, it said yesterday. The Australia unit has faced increasing competition from Qantas Airways Ltd. (QAN)’s budget unit Jetstar and from Virgin Australia. 

Davis also said that Tiger is confident partner South East Asian Airlines Inc. will win approval for plans to operate flights in the Philippines using Tiger Air aircraft. The Philippines’ Civil Aeronautics Board yesterday issued a provisional order barring SEAir from implementing the accord on concerns it breached cross-border flight rules. 

“As we adopt practices that are fairly commonplace in other parts of the world, inevitably it will take some time for people to get comfortable with that and understand how that works and assure themselves it complies with rules,” Davis said. “We’re sure it does, SEAir is sure it does -- we need to convince the regulator.”

Philippine Deal

Tiger has agreed to buy a stake in SEAir, which will also fly international services from the Philippines. These overseas flights haven’t been affected by the regulator’s order. Tiger is also forming a low-cost venture in Bangkok with Thai Airways International Pcl. 

Tiger’s net income dropped to S$1.3 million ($1 million) in the three months ended March 31 from S$22.3 million a year earlier. Operating profit dropped to S$10.2 million from S$11.8 million on higher fuel costs. Sales increased 16 percent to S$163.2 million. 

Mandala Airlines, which is undergoing a financial restructuring, will be 51 percent owned by Sandiaga Uno’s Saratoga Group, Tiger said yesterday. Mandala’s previous shareholders and creditors will have a 16 percent. The deal is pending due diligence, Tiger said. Source: Bloomberg

Indonesia forest moratorium excludes permit extensions, energy projects

Indonesia's two-year moratorium on new permits to clear primary forests and carbon-rich peatlands will exclude the extension of existing permits and permits already given in principle by the forestry ministry, an official said on Friday.

It will also exclude projects to develop energy such as geothermal, gas and power plants, as well as plantations for rice and sugar, the official told a news conference.

The moratorium, delayed by five months from a planned January start, was signed into law on Thursday in an effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from deforestation under a $1 billion climate deal with Norway. Source: Reuters

Posisi Transaksi Foreign Buy/Sell 19 Mei 2011

Berikut posisi beli dan jual asing pada 19 Mei 2011.

Kode saham                Volume            Sell                Buy                    
 AALI                           1,563,500             161,500              193,500
 ADRO                       75,975,500        15,535,000              41,287,000







 AKRA                       27,393,500               25,000                5,750,000





ANTM                      10,489,500          1,002,000                 4,009,000



ASII                            6,816,500          1,638,000                2,617,500



ASRI                         26,676,000        14,127,000                4,443,000
 BBCA                          9,080,500          4,056,500                4,173,000




































 BBKP                         46,424,500          1,876,000              18,169,000
 BBNI                          17,523,000              340,000               5,745,000
 BBRI                           72,151,000         11,816,000              7,490,500
 BBTN                           3,514,000                21,500               1,002,500
 BDMN                        6,163,500            4,559,000               2,945,000
 BJBR                           17,220,500             244,500               7,761,000
 BMRI                         55,162,500            4,019,500            25,096,500
BNBR                     1,845,384,000          10,653,000          200,545,500
BORN                          34,827,500          12,352,500              3,760,000
BRMS                          27,523,500            2,325,000            10,220,500
BSDE                              7,904,000             2,260,500             4,220,500
BTEL                            41,606,000           20,000,000             9,230,500
BUMI                           62,166,500              8,492,500            8,067,000
CPIN                            26,475,500               2,592,500            6,463,500
DEWA                        221,020,000             23,265,000            7,680,500
ELTY                       1,048,601,000             93,282,000          10,812,000
ENRG                        308,421,000             24,250,000          71,668,000
EXCL                           11,042,000               2,959,000            4,058,500
GGRM                             884,000                  306,500               205,000
GJTL                           10,416,000               3,086,500            6,651,000
HRUM                          4,693,500                   784,000           2,573,500
ICBP                             4,032,500                2,686,500            2,660,000
IDKM                       3,886,50000                                            2,975,000
INCO                             6,136,000               1,493,500             1,722,000
INDF9,328,0003,603,5003,008,500
INDY                             4,806,500                1,052,500             3,762,000
INKP1,530,000227,000134,000
INTA                            10,014,000                     32,500                625,000
INTP                              3,696,500                2,159,000             2,268,500
ISAT                                 974,500                     67,500                672,500
ITMG                            3,815,000                   771,000             1,105,500
JPFA                              1,452,500                       2,500                469,500
JSMR                            7,017,000                     31,500             4,362,500
KLBF                             8,998,000                1,766,000                897,000
LSIP                             23,334,500                5,396,500                773,000
MIDI                           60,535,000                      27,500            2,510,000
MNCN                        28,495,500                 6,267,500           14,302,000
PGAS                           28,187,000                 7,249,500            5,334,000
PTBA                             1,693,500                    272,500                115,500
PTPP7,458,000231,0006,000,000
ROTI                                501,000                             00                373,000
SGRO                            5,347,000               641,00000
SMCB                           6,480,000                      16,000             1,188,000
SMGR                         15,285,000                    933,000             5,790,000
SMRA                            3,922,500                2,195,500             1,071,000
TLKM                          15,865,500                8,671,500             5,638,000
UNSP                          330,080,500                7,472,500             1,072,500
UNTR                             9,135,500                    313,000            2,161,500











Rekomendasi HD Capital, 20 Mei 2011

Berikut rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Jumat, 20 Mei 2011.
BUY: (ASII, ITMG, ADRO, BBNI)
  • IHSG masih bisa melanjutkan penguatan di atas resistance all time high 3.855 namun bila terjadi pullback koreksi dapat digunakan sebagai kesempatan akumulasi di beberapa saham big cap terutama sektor batubara yang belum naik signifikan.
  • IHSG close (18-05) 3.857.531(+16.722/+0.43%) (Val.Rp.3.4T)
  • Support: 3.830-3.780-3.700, Resistance: 3,890-3.970
 
Stock picks:
1.     Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY) (Target Rp.2.475) (close 19/05 Rp.2.375)
  • Setelah melewati tahun sulit di 2010 karena cuaca buruk dengan earning turun 40-45% yoy, kami melihat perusahaan coal tahun ini akan membaik (naik 2x yoy) dengan kenaikan volume & ASP menyumbang kinerjanya secara signifikan.
  • Secara technical mulai keluar dari pola konsolidasi sebelumnya, dengan daily stochastic menembus diatas 50-line dengan potensi menuju resistance berikutnya di Rp 2.425-2.475.
  • Bila sampai terjadi pullback (koreksi minor) ke daerah crossover point moving average 10-50 hari di Rp 2.300 sangat disarankan untuk mengambil posisi.
  • Entry (1) Rp 2.300, Entry (2) Rp 2.250, Cut loss point: Rp 2.200
 
2.    Astra International (ASII) (BUY): (Target: Rp 61.450) (Close 19/05 Rp 60.900)
  • Bila terjadi koreksi akibat keadaan jenuh beli (overbought) di stochastic 5 harian dan klimaks pembelian net oleh broker asing di new high dapat digunakan sebagai re-entry point bagi yang sudah melakukan profit taking pasca break old high Rp 60.750.
  • Exit (1) Rp 59.700, Entry (2) Rp 59.000, Cut-loss point: Rp 58.500
 
3.   Indo Tambang Raya (ITMG) (BUY): (Target: Rp 47.400) (Close 19/05 Rp 46.500)
  • Memasuki musim kemarau, produksi ITMG mulai pulih sehingga kinerja profit yang naik di Q1 (hal ini membuat valuasi PER 2011 turun dari 28x ke 15x) dapat terulang untuk Q2.
  • Secara technical mulai ada rally untuk mengetes moving average cross point di Rp 47.400 dan bila ITMG berhasil bermain diatas itu untuk beberapa hari maka scenario untuk menutup price gap atas di Rp 49.200 sangat mungkin.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 46.500, Entry (2) Rp 46.300, Cut loss point: Rp 45.700
 
4.   Bank BNI (BBNI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 4.150) (Close 19/05 Rp 3.950)
  • Fokus ke kualitas aset yang lebih baik dan ekspansi pasca rights issue yang dilakukan sebelumnya dapat membuat target pertumbuhan laba sebesar 34% bisa saja tercapai tahun ini dengan catatan iklim suku bunga masih kondusif
  • Secara technical mulai keluar dari pola konsolidasi 2 mingguan dengan membentuk high harga baru, daily stochastic testing 50-line, pergerakan menuju Rp 4.000-4.150 sangat mungkin terjadi dalam waktu dekat ini.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 3.950, Entry (2) Rp 3.875, Cut loss point: Rp 3.825
 
Dibuat oleh: 
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Telkom aims to buy back SingTel's Telkomsel shares

* Telkom CEO: plan aimed at increasing EBITDA, profit

* Telkom shareholders approve plan to buy SingTel's stake
* CEO says ceased talks with Bakrie Telecom on consolidation

Telekomunikasi Indonesia , the nation's biggest telecom firm, plans to buy back up to a 35 percent stake owned by Singapore's Singtel in its mobile unit Telkomsel in a bid to increase its profit, the firm's CEO said on Thursday. 

The plan, initiated by the government and approved by shareholders in Telkom's annual meeting on Thursday, comes as Telkom struggles to boost profits in a once-fast growing mobile market that is now seeing heated competition. 

"We will talk with Singtel to work out the financial details but I think we can do it," said Rinaldi Firmansyah, Telkom's CEO, adding that the if the plan materialised it will increase the firm's profit. 

The results of talks must be announced before the end of the year, said Telkom's chief commisioner. 

However Singtel, Southeast Asia's largest telecoms firm, did not appear to be keen to sell.
"Singtel has a good partnership with both Telkom and Telkomsel and we continue to be a long-term, strategic investor in Indonesia," a Singtel spokeswoman said. 

SingTel set a surprise record dividend payment earlier this month, signalling it may be struggling to find growth avenues through acquisitions after buying stakes in mobile operators in high-growth Asian countries such as Indonesia, India and Thailand about a decade ago. [ID:nL3E7G914P] 

Telkomsel is Indonesia's biggest mobile firm with more than 100 million subscribers at the end of the first quarter. Telkom currently owns 65 percent of Telkomsel, which contributed the majority of the firm's revenues. 

Firmansyah said that Telkom has finally ceased negotiations with Bakrie Telecom , Indonesia's leading fixed wireless firm controlled by the Bakrie Group, to merge it with its CDMA unit Telkomflexi. 

"We just stopped talking to them," he said, without providing any details. 

Sources had said Bakrie Telecom was in talks to buy Telkomflexi for $1 billion but discussions have been hampered by opposition inside Telkom as well as in the government.
Telkom's shareholders also approved a share buyback with funds of up to 5 trillion rupiah ($584 million). ($1 = 8559.5 rupiah). Source: Reuters

Tiger to buy stake in Indonesia's Mandala Air

Tiger Airways Holdings Ltd. agreed to buy a 33 per cent stake in PT Mandala Airlines to expand in Indonesia as it challenges AirAsia Bhd for Southeast Asian budget travellers.

Mandala, which is undergoing a financial restructuring, plans to adopt a low-cost business model, Singapore-based Tiger said in a statement yesterday. It didn't say how much it would pay for the stake in the carrier, which will be majority owned by the Saratoga Group. Separately, Tiger reported a 94 per cent drop in fourth-quarter profit after tax provisions.

Tiger will also boost capacity at its main Singapore hub by at least 40 per cent in six months started April 1, as it follows AirAsia in adding planes and bases to take advantage of rising travel demand in Southeast Asia. The carrier will keep capacity at its Australia arm unchanged as competition from Qantas Airways Ltd.'s Jetstar and Virgin Australia damps fares.

Tiger, part-owned by Singapore Airlines Ltd., also this year agreed to a tie-up with South East Asian Airlines to add flights in the Philippines. The Philippines aviation regulator today made a provisional order blocking this arrangement on concerns it broke cross-border flight rules.

Net income dropped to S$1.3 million (Dh3.85 million) in the three months ended March 31 from S$22.3 million a year earlier following tax provisions linked to its Australian unit, Tiger said. Operating profit dropped to S$10.2 million from S$11.8 million on higher fuel costs. Sales increased 16 per cent to S$163.2 million.
Tiger rose 0.7 per cent to close at S$1.55 in Singapore before the announcements. Source: Gulf News

Indonesia May Use Giant Floating Dock From Japan to Boost Coal Shipments

Indonesia, the world’s second-largest coal exporter, may build a floating dock worth as much as 100 billion yen ($1.2 billion) with Japan to enable speedier transfer of the fuel from barges to bigger ships. 


Construction of the so-called mega-float, to be moored off the coast of East Kalimantan, is likely to start in 2014, said Hidenobu Teramura, a director at Japan’s trade ministry. The dock, longer than eight Airbus SAS A380 superjumbos, will be designed to cut the time taken to load a Panamax ship to one day from seven, Japan’s transport ministry said.


The project to build what would be the world’s biggest floating coal terminal is part of Japan’s goal to export infrastructure technology and revive a stagnating domestic economy, worsened by the March 11 earthquake and tsunami. Indonesia is looking to spur mining in Kalimantan, among its most resource-rich areas, where inadequate infrastructure is impeding development. 


“That’s definitely one way to address Kalimantan’s infrastructure problems that have become a major concern for foreign and local investors,” Supriatna Suhala, executive director at the Indonesian Coal Mining Association, said in a telephone interview. 


Coal will provide the bulk of the fuel for power generation in Southeast Asia, where demand for electricity may triple 2030, Wood Mackenzie Research Consultancy said May 12. Companies plan to build 35 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam and Singapore, it said.

Bali Meeting


Indonesia and Japan will discuss the float project in Bali on May 30, Suhala said. President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono vowed to double Indonesia’s infrastructure spending to $140 billion during his second five-year term to 2014 to achieve average growth of 6.6 percent.

Shallow waters around Kalimantan, the Indonesian side of Borneo Island, limit access to the largest coal carriers that are able to pass through the Panama Canal. The floating harbor will be placed in waters deep enough for the panamax ships to berth on one side and the barges to unload on the other. 


The float, 600 meters (1,968 feet) long and 150 meters wide, will be able to accommodate two Panamax ships and stockpile 600,000 tons of coal, according to Japan’s transport ministry. There will be space to blend coal to customer specifications, potentially raising prices, Teramura said.

Coal Prices


Coal may average $124 a ton this quarter and $127 in the third, Raymond Chan, an analyst with Standard Chartered in Singapore, forecast in a report on May 10. The Indonesian coal reference price was traded at $117.61 a metric ton in May, down from $122.02 a ton in April, according to data from the energy ministry. That’s in line with the $117.15 a ton spot price at Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for Asia. 


Indonesia produced 325 million tons of coal in 2010, including supply from PT Bumi Resources’ PT Kaltim Prima Coal and PT Adaro Energy’s Tutupan, among largest coal mines in Kalimantan. The region produces more than half the nation’s coal output.

Japan is seeking to attract overseas customers as an aging population, deflation and increased debt dimmed the outlook for the economy even before the earthquake and tsunami. 


The timing coincides with a plan by Tokyo Electric Power Co. to use a mega-float at the crippled Dai-Ichi nuclear plant to store radioactive water. The float, which served as a fishing park in Shizuoka, will be delivered to Tokyo Electric this month, the utility said on May 15. 


“Mega-float technology, which has been developed by Japan Inc., is very important and expected to be a classic example of Japan’s infrastructure exports,” Teramura said.

Japan Coal Energy Center, known as J-Coal, is scheduled to complete the Indonesian mega-float study in the second half of the year, Teramura said. Japan may offer yen-loans to Indonesia for the project and the terms would stipulate that at least 30 percent of the materials used in the float would be made in Japan, giving Japanese companies such as IHI Corp. (7013), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries Ltd. (7011) and Nippon Steel Corp. (5401) an opportunity to win contracts. Source: Bloomberg