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Tuesday, March 22, 2011

CVC to invest $269 mln in Indonesia's First Media

* CVC to take up to 49 pct stake in First Media unit
* Partnership deal comes after scrapped stake sale
* First Media's stock jumps over 20 pct, vs index down 0.3 pct 

Private equity firm CVC will invest $269 million in the cable TV and internet business of Indonesia's PT First Media , in a deal that reflects investor interest to tap growing consumer spending in Southeast Asia's biggest economy.

The deal marks the second investment by CVC in the Lippo Group, one of Indonesia's biggest conglomerates, and in Indonesia, after its $790 million purchase of a department store chain last year, and bankers expect more M&A deals in the consumer and retail sector.

First Media, controlled by the Lippo Group, said CVC will get a 49 percent stake in PT Link Net, a unit that provides high-speed internet, cable pay TV and data communication services.

"This deal will also attract interest from other parties to co-operate with First Media, or for small investors to invest in its stock," said Winston Sual, a fund manager at Panin Dana Maxima, which runs 5.5 trillion rupiah ($630 million) in funds.

Shares in First Media surged as much as 24 percent after the announcement, and traded 13 percent up at 950 rupiah by 0802 GMT, versus a Jakarta index down 0.3 percent. The stock has been flat this year, versus the index's 5 percent drop.

Foreign investors have sold a net $766 million in Indonesian stocks this year on worries over inflation and as funds move to developed markets and north Asia, though many are still bullish longer term on Indonesia's prospects. The index surged 46 percent last year on $2 billion of net foreign buying.


First Media said in January it had hired Bank of America Merrill Lynch to conduct a strategic review of its business to help the company identify various strategy and growth opportunities.

Lippo had aimed to raise about $400 to $500 million from a sale of their majority stake in First Media and gathered interest from firms including South Korean's SK Telecom Co and KDDI Corp , but the group saw bids as too low.

"This will allow us to invest more heavily in much needed telecommunication infrastructure," said Peter Gontha, First Media's chairman, on the deal with CVC.
Inadequate infrastructure in the archipelago is seen as a hurdle to growth and an investment opportunity. A growing middle class, with salaries having risen over a quarter in the last three years, is expected to drive demand for consumer products.
DRY POWDER
Intense competition for deals in hot markets like China and India means global buyout shops like CVC, the Carlyle Group , TPG and Blackstone are increasingly pushing into fast-growing markets like Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam, as they hunt for investments.

Asia now accounts for almost one-fifth of overall global private equity volume, and Thomson Reuters data shows $73 billion in dry powder in the region - money that was raised for private equity investment but has not yet been put to work. 

CVC has a total of 13.5 billion euros in investment capital, and is actively investing in Asia from its CVC Asia III fund, according to its website. 

CVC usually seeks a controlling stake in companies, to ensure the management control needed to turn assets around. But in Asia minority stakes are the norm, and in Indonesia tycoons are normally only willing to sell stakes of around 20 percent. 

"A global private equity firm's entrance into a company means that it will improve the firm's transparency as it will put its people in to make sure the firm runs well," said Panin Dana's Sual.  Source: Reuters

CVC Capital Akuisisi Anak Usaha First Media Rp 2,35 T

CVC Capital Partners Asia Pacific III LP dan CVC Capital Partners Asia Pacific III Parallel Fund ALP (CVC) melalui anak usahanya, Asia Holdings Limited (Asia Link) mengakuisisi anak usaha PT First Media Tbk (KBLV), yakni PT Link Net sebesar 49% atau senilai Rp 2,35 triliun. Perjanjian investasi tersebut dilakukan pada 21 Maret 2011.

Dalam keterbukaan informasinya, manajemen KBLV berharap kerja sama dengan CVC dapat memenuhi minat pasar untuk menerima layanan jaringan dan internet secara luas dan efisien. Dalam rangka aliansi strategis, CVC memiliki hak untuk menunjuk perwakilannya sebagai anggota direksi dan/atau komisaris Link Net.

Rencana akuisisi tersebut akan berlaku efektif setelah perseroan memperoleh persetujuan rapat umum pemegang saham luar biasa.

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 22 Maret 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Selasa, 22 Maret 2011.
BUY: (BBCA, PGAS, ADRO, ASII)

* Selain regional, penundaan pembatasan subsidi BBM dari April hingga July atau setelah Lebaran memicu sentiment positif di pasar sehingga diperkirakan IHSG masih akan berjalan di jalur hijau

* IHSG close (21-03) 3.518(+24.864/+0.71%) (Val.Rp.3.4T)

* Support: 3.475-3.450, Resistance: 3,650-3,750


Stock picks:

1. Bank BCA (BBCA): (BUY) (target: Rp 6.900) (close 21/03 Rp 6.700)

* Kembali ke teori "barang bagus selalu mahal" rekomen akumulasi emiten perbankan dengan valuasi PER 2011 termahal namun dengan rasio profitabilitas NPM tertinggi di sektornya.

* Fokus ke fee based income dan loan quality terbaik didukung oleh cost of funding murah membuatnya sangat efisien dengan NPM 2011 29%.

* Entry (1) Rp 6.600, Entry (2) Rp 6.500, Cut loss point: Rp 6.300


2. Perusahaan Gas (PGAS) (BUY): (Target: Rp 3.900) (Close 21/03 Rp 3.750)

* Komitmen Jepang untuk membeli gas alam cair untuk pembangkit listrik mereka dapat mendongkrak harga gas dunia sehingga positif untuk PGAS karena membuka jalan untuk menaikkan harga kontrak negosiasi kedepan

* Secara technical mulai membaik dengan indicator stochastic dan MACD harian memberikan signal buy dengan scenario menuju Rp 3.900 dan 50-days moving average di Rp 4.100.

* Entry (1) Rp 3.700, Entry (2) Rp 3.600, Cut loss point: Rp 3.525


3. Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp.2.375) (Close 21/03 Rp.2.325)

* Sentimen negatif dari downgrade fundamental para analis mulai tercermin kedalam koreksi harga saham, bila masih terjadi penurunan rekomen akumulasi (buy on weakness) untuk technical rebound

* Entry: (1) Rp 2.250, Entry (2) Rp 2.150, Cut loss point: Rp 2.075


4. Astra International (ASII) (BUY) (Target: Rp 56.200) (close 21/03 Rp 55.150)

* Penutupan di atas Rp 49.500 membuat ASII dapat melanjutkan rally hingga Rp 56.200 apalagi pasar optimistis akan tren penjualan mobil kedepan (untuk bulan Maret khususnya) setelah pemerintan mengundur lagi jadwal pembatasan subisidi BBM hingga Juli nanti.

* Entry (1) Rp 54.900, Entry (2) Rp 54.300, Cut loss point: Rp 53.700




Dibuat oleh:
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 22 Maret 2011


Berikut rekomendasi tiga sekuritas ternama untuk Selasa, 22 Maret 2011.
 
1. E-Trading Securities
Pada perdagangan kemarin, IHSG ditutup naik 24 poin (0,71%) ke level 3.518,85 dengan nilai transaksi sebesar Rp 3,3 triliun dan volume transaksi 6 juta lot. Meski demikian, asing masih membukukan net selling Rp 120 miliar. Secara teknikal, kami melihat indeks masih berpotensi untuk melanjutkan penguatannya. Indikator stochastic berpeluang membentuk golden cross dan pergerakan MACD histogram yang mulai memendek di area negatif. Sejalan dengan itu, indeks hari ini diperkirakan bergerak di kisaran 3.469–3.553. Pantau PGAS, BISI, dan INCO.

2. Indo Premier Securities
Indeks hari ini cukup menjanjikan. Namun, ini dengan catatan tidak ada kejutan dari situasi di Timur Tengah atau Jepang.  Setelah hampir ditutup mendekati titik high, batas resistance indeks naik menjadi 3.550.  Saham-saham pilihan saat ini berada di sektor batubara, seperti PTBA, ITMG, ADRO. 

3. Sinarmas Sekuritas
Secara teknikal, indeks hari ini cenderung bergerak menguat pada kisaran 3.501-3.532. Pergerakan bursa global akan turut memberikan sentimen terhadap indeks. Selain itu, pasar saham masih akan mengamati perkembangan krisis nuklir di Jepang dan aksi militer di Libya. Saham-saham yang dapat diperhatikan antara lain PGAS, INDF, INCO, SMCB.