Brent crude surged above $100 this week, while copper and tin futures struck record highs as a cocktail of violent unrest in Egypt and strong Chinese demand for raw materials fuelled investor appetite .
Commodities were also bolstered by upbeat manufacturing data from Germany and the United States that sparked hope of a strengthening global economic recovery. Sugar futures soared as cyclone Yasi bore down on Australia.
OIL: Prices stood above the key $100 mark in London on Monday for the first time in more than two years and went on to surpass $103 a barrel as the market was hit by concerns over the impact of Egypt unrest on global energy supplies.
Brent oil blazed a trail to $103.37 on Thursday -- reaching the highest level since September 26, 2008. However, the market remains far below record highs of above $147 that were hit in July 2008 on supply disruption fears.
Crude futures spiked higher on the back of violent protests in Egypt that have raised serious concerns about the security of energy supplies travelling via the Suez canal to the West.
Egyptian protestors massed on Friday for sweeping "departure day" demonstrations, in an attempt to force President Hosni Mubarak to quit after he said he would like to step down but fears chaos would result.
Tens of thousands filled Cairo's central Tahrir Square, the epicentre of the 11 straight days of protests that have shaken the pillars of Mubarak's three-decade rule, on the Muslim day of rest.
"Oil markets are still on edge regarding possible worsening of turmoil centred on Egypt," said Brenda Sullivan, an analyst at Sucden brokers.
While Egypt is not a major crude producer, the country is home to the Suez Canal, which carries about 2.4 million barrels daily, roughly equal to Iraq's output.
"Thus far transit through Egypt has not been seen to have been affected, but the risk to transport as well as the risk of supply disruptions in other nations in the region are likely to continue as a major factor in the energy markets for some time," added Sullivan.
Traders are also concerned about the wider ramifications of the events in Egypt on the oil-rich but politically volatile Middle East.
Research house Capital Economics said oil prices were also being buoyed by strong global energy demand.
"The bulk of the rise in oil prices over the last few months reflects buoyant global demand rather than uncertainty in the Middle East," it said in a research note.
Analysts meanwhile expect the spread in the price between Brent crude and the benchmark New York contract to widen further because of oversupply in the US port of Cushing, Oklahoma.
By Friday afternoon on London's Intercontinental Exchange, Brent North Sea crude for delivery in March leapt to $101.60 a barrel from $99.34 a week earlier.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, Texas light sweet crude for March delivery jumped to $90.73 a barrel from $88.75.
BASE METALS
Copper prices topped $10,000 for the first time and went on to hit a record high $10,100 a tonne Friday on growing worldwide economic optimism and concerns about the impact of an Australian cyclone on stretched supplies.
"Copper prices continue to soar," said Ian O'Sullivan, an analyst at traders Spread Co. in London.
"Cyclone Yasi in Australia has added pressure to copper prices, with (mining company) Xstrata evacuating the largest copper mine in Australia ahead of the storm.
"But the key drivers have been the strong PMI manufacturing numbers out of the US, Europe, and especially China, the world's largest consumer of copper."
Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasi, a top-category storm, hit the Australian coast early Thursday, packing destructive winds.
Copper is also being propelled by tight global supplies of the industrial metal, which is used in plumbing, heating, electrical and telecommunications wiring.
Tin meanwhile struck an all-time peak of $31,300 a tonne, driven by supply concerns in key producer Indonesia.
By late Friday on the London Metal Exchange (LME), copper for delivery in three months surged to $10,060 a tonne from $9,628 a week earlier.
Three-month aluminium jumped to $2,540 a tonne from $2,470.
Three-month lead grew to $2,577 a tonne from $2,460.
Three-month tin gained to $31,050 a tonne from $29,650 a week earlier.
Three-month zinc increased to $2,504 a tonne from $2,340.
Three-month nickel advanced to $28,185 a tonne from $26,890.
PRECIOUS METALS
Gold prices rebounded, helped by unrest in Egypt, with the metal viewed as a safe-haven investment.
The glamourous commodity had hit a record 1,431.25 dollars on December 7, also boosted by its safe-haven status as investors fretted over the eurozone debt crisis. Source: Reuters
By late Friday on the London Bullion Market, gold grew to $1,355 an ounce from $1,334.50 a week earlier.
Saturday, February 5, 2011
Copper Climbs to Record on Concern Demand Will Outstrip Supplies
Copper extended a rally to a record on mounting concern that the global economic recovery will boost consumption of the metal used in cars, homes and appliances while mining companies struggle to increase output.
Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world’s largest publicly traded producer, said the market will be “tight in 2011, and for the foreseeable future.” The metal has more than tripled since the end of 2008 on rising demand from China, the world’s largest buyer. In the U.S., the second-biggest user, unemployment fell in January to the lowest level since April 2009, the Labor Department said today.
“Demand for copper continues to be robust and growing,” said James Dailey, who manages $185 million at TEAM Financial Asset Management LLC in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. “Bringing copper production online is very costly and protracted, so it may be some time before production levels are able to grow fast enough to offset the growth in demand.”
Copper futures for March delivery rose 3.5 cents, or 0.8 percent, to close at $4.5795 a pound at 1:26 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Earlier, the price reached a record $4.614. The metal is up 4.7 percent this week, the biggest weekly gain since Dec. 3.
The global supply deficit will reach 822,000 metric tons in 2011, more than double last year’s shortfall, Barclays Capital said on Jan. 20. JPMorgan Securities Ltd. and Macquarie Bank Ltd. also predicted a deficit, and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. and Morgan Stanley have boosted their price forecasts.
China Demand
“We have continuing strong demand out of China and the prospects of continued recovery in the U.S. and in parts of Europe,” Kathleen Quirk, Freeport’s chief financial officer, said yesterday in a telephone interview from Phoenix. “That is also overlaid on a situation where supply is very limited. Our industry hasn’t been able to expand capacity fast enough to meet the demand.”
Copper for three-month delivery added $120, or 1.2 percent, to $10,050 a ton ($4.56 a pound) on the London Metal Exchange. Earlier, the metal climbed to $10,100, the highest ever.
Also in London, tin climbed 2.1 percent to $31,200 a ton after reaching a record $31,300. Prices are up 16 percent this year. PT Timah, the biggest supplier of the metal, said on Jan. 14 its production may drop for a fourth straight year in 2011.
Aluminum, lead, nickel and zinc rose. Source: Bloomberg
Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc., the world’s largest publicly traded producer, said the market will be “tight in 2011, and for the foreseeable future.” The metal has more than tripled since the end of 2008 on rising demand from China, the world’s largest buyer. In the U.S., the second-biggest user, unemployment fell in January to the lowest level since April 2009, the Labor Department said today.
“Demand for copper continues to be robust and growing,” said James Dailey, who manages $185 million at TEAM Financial Asset Management LLC in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania. “Bringing copper production online is very costly and protracted, so it may be some time before production levels are able to grow fast enough to offset the growth in demand.”
Copper futures for March delivery rose 3.5 cents, or 0.8 percent, to close at $4.5795 a pound at 1:26 p.m. on the Comex in New York. Earlier, the price reached a record $4.614. The metal is up 4.7 percent this week, the biggest weekly gain since Dec. 3.
The global supply deficit will reach 822,000 metric tons in 2011, more than double last year’s shortfall, Barclays Capital said on Jan. 20. JPMorgan Securities Ltd. and Macquarie Bank Ltd. also predicted a deficit, and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. and Morgan Stanley have boosted their price forecasts.
China Demand
“We have continuing strong demand out of China and the prospects of continued recovery in the U.S. and in parts of Europe,” Kathleen Quirk, Freeport’s chief financial officer, said yesterday in a telephone interview from Phoenix. “That is also overlaid on a situation where supply is very limited. Our industry hasn’t been able to expand capacity fast enough to meet the demand.”
Copper for three-month delivery added $120, or 1.2 percent, to $10,050 a ton ($4.56 a pound) on the London Metal Exchange. Earlier, the metal climbed to $10,100, the highest ever.
Also in London, tin climbed 2.1 percent to $31,200 a ton after reaching a record $31,300. Prices are up 16 percent this year. PT Timah, the biggest supplier of the metal, said on Jan. 14 its production may drop for a fourth straight year in 2011.
Aluminum, lead, nickel and zinc rose. Source: Bloomberg
Sierad Produce Reverse Stock Sepuluh Kali
Jika disetujui, reverse stock akan dilakukan terhadap saham seri A dari semula nominalnya Rp 395 menjadi Rp 3.950/saham. Saham seri B semula Rp 395 menjadi Rp 3.950 dan saham seri C dari Rp 100 menjadi Rp 1.000/saham.
Berbeda dengan stock split yang akan membuat harga saham naik karena menguntungkan pemegang saham mengingat kepemilikan sahamnya akan bertambah, reverse stock justru menjadi momok bagi pemegang saham. Pasalnya, jumlah saham yang dimiliki akan berkurang dan biasanya saham hasil reverse stock bakal turun.
Kemarin, saham SIPD turun 9,68% atau Rp 6 menjadi Rp 56. Harga saham ini dalam setahun terakhir (52 minggu) bergerak di kisaran Rp 50-84.
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