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Friday, December 3, 2010

Hartono Brothers Stay Atop Forbes Indonesia’s 40 Richest List

R. Budi and Michael Hartono took top spot on Forbes Asia’s 40 richest Indonesians list for the second straight year with combined wealth of $11 billion, up from $7 billion in 2009, the magazine reported in its December issue. 

The brothers derive most of their wealth from holdings in PT Bank Central Asia, Indonesia’s biggest by market value, and own clove-cigarette maker Djarum and palm-oil interests. They cap a list of billionaires and millionaires whose wealth has grown to $71 billion this year from $42 billion last year, Forbes said. 

Susilo Wonowidjojo, president of PT Gudang Garam, the Indonesian cigarette maker founded by his father, came in second with $8 billion, Forbes reported. 

Eka Tjipta, whose family owns palm-oil producer Golden Agri-Resources Ltd., is No. 3 on the list with $6 billion, up from $3.6 billion in 2009, Forbes said. Martua Sitorus, chief operating officer of Wilmar International Ltd., the world’s biggest palm-oil trader, is in fourth place with $3.2 billion compared with $3 billion last year. 

Anthoni Salim, head of the Salim Group, came in fifth with $3 billion. Salim is chairman of First Pacific Co. Ltd., which in October raised $700 million in an initial public offering for PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur, the world’s biggest instant- noodle maker.Source: Bloomberg

Matahari Says Four Retailers Interested in Acquiring Control

PT Matahari Putra Prima, Indonesia’s second-biggest hypermarket operator by stores, said four retailers, including South Korea’s biggest, are interested in acquiring a controlling stake. Matahari shares rose 9.5 percent. 

Bank of America Corp.’s Merrill Lynch unit is facilitating discussions with the companies that may “explore the modes of investment” that may include a stake sale, Matahari said in an e-mailed statement. Matahari jumped 150 rupiah to 1,730 rupiah as of 9:36 a.m. Jakarta time, set for the highest close since its trading debut December 1992. 

South Korea’s Lotte Shopping Co. is one of the four retailers that may invest in Matahari, according to the statement, which didn’t identify the other three suitors. Wal- Mart Stores Inc. and French retailer Casino Guichard- Perrachon SA are among the companies that have looked at the assets, people familiar with the deal said last month. 

A purchase would give the buyer control over Matahari’s 51 hypermarkets, 25 supermarkets and 53 pharmacy outlets operating in an economy forecast to expand 6 percent this year. The hypermarket business has annual sales of about $1 billion that will probably grow 22 percent this year, the statement said. Domestic consumption accounts for about two- thirds of the Indonesian economy, the biggest in Southeast Asia. 

Today’s gain boosts Matahari’s climb in Jakarta trading this year to 97 percent, giving it a market value of about $1 billion. 

Expansion Plans
The retailer, founded in 1958, also has 90 family entertainment centers and 18 bookstores as well as a strategic alliance operating 92 department stores in more than 50 cities across Indonesia, according to its statement. 

It plans to open at least 13 hypermarkets next year and 80 outlets over the next five years, Matahari said. 

The possible investors “highlighted potential for enhancing and expanding the food business with all non-related assets and liabilities being excluded,” Matahari said. 

Lotte Group, the parent of Lotte Shopping, has 21 outlets, Tong Yang Securities Inc. said in a Nov. 4 report. Acquiring a controlling stake or just the stores would let the South Korean company overtake Carrefour as the largest hypermarket operator in the Southeast Asian nation, the brokerage said. 

Carrefour, the world’s second-biggest retailer, in June opened its 64th hypermarket in Indonesia where it also has at least 16 supermarkets, according to its website. The French retailer, which entered Asia in 1989 with a hypermarket in Taiwan, opened its first store in Jakarta in 1998. 

Carlyle, Dairy Farm
Lotte’s Hwang Kag Gyu, executive vice president of international and new business planning, said Nov. 30 it will make a final offer for Matahari’s hypermarkets. The deadline for final bids is likely to be delayed from an original schedule of early December, he said. 

Carlyle Group and Hong Kong’s Dairy Farm International Holdings Ltd. had also looked at the Indonesian retailer’s assets, three people familiar with the process said last month. 

Lotte Shopping, which said Nov. 12 it had submitted a letter of intent to buy Matahari’s hypermarket business, has spent about $1.5 billion on four acquisitions this year, according to Bloomberg data. 

Units of Seoul-based Lotte, whose assets include petrochemical operations, are expanding in China, Vietnam, Indonesia and Russia to tap faster growth and rising affluence in developing markets. 

Lotte Expansion
Lotte Group seeks acquisitions in China and Southeast Asia as sales overseas in the next decade are likely to expand two to three times faster than in its domestic market, said Hwang, who spends about a third of his time abroad. 

Matahari said in October it hired Merrill Lynch to analyze its business and follow up on interest by companies outside Indonesia for an investment or partnership. The company sold control of its department-store arm to a unit of CVC Capital Partners Ltd. for 7.2 trillion rupiah ($798 million) in January. 

Casino and Lotte were considering a binding offer for the food-retailing business of Matahari after proceeding to the second round of the auction, two people with knowledge of the deal said last month. 

Casino last month agreed to buy Carrefour’s business in Thailand for 868 million euros ($1.14 billion).Source: Bloomberg

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 3 Desember 2010


Berikut rekomendasi empat sekuritas ternama untuk perdagangan Jumat, 3 Desember 2010, termasuk saham-saham yang patut dicermati para investor.

1. E-Trading Securities
Pada perdagangan kemarin, IHSG kembali menguat 75 poin (2,09%) di kisaran level 3.694. Jika kita lihat dari RSI, IHSG masih berada dalam area bearish, tetapi mengalami rebound. Hari ini, kita dapat melihat apakah garis RSI 50 dapat ditembus. Jika IHSG tidak dapat menembus garis RSI, ada kemungkinan terjadi profit taking dan harga saham akan terkoreksi, walaupun secara jangka panjang IHSG masih bullish. Saat ini, IHSG mempunyai resistance di level 3.710 dan resistance 2 di level 3.733. Sedangkan support di kisaran 3.630, sehingga IHSG hari ini akan berada dalam kisaran 3.630–3.733. Saham-saham yang dapat diperhatikan antara lain BJBR, AKRA, BBTN, dan INTA.

2. Trimegah Securities
IHSG berhasil melanjutkan rally yang berlangsung di tengah penguatan bursa regional. Didukung membaiknya minat beli dari pelaku pasar, khususnya investor asing yang mulai membukukan net buy, dapat menopang laju kenaikan IHSG. Diharapkan IHSG mampu bertahan di atas level 238,2% fibonacci projection, yang menjadi support-nya seiring tren kenaikan yang terbentuk dari stochastic. Hari ini, indeks diperkirakan bergerak pada kisaran 3.675-3.727, dengan saham pilihan JSMR, PGAS, dan SMGR.

3. Kresna Securities
IHSG kembali melanjutkan penguatan seiring membaiknya sentimen global. IHSG berpeluang menguji kembali level tertinggi dan bergerak di kisaran 3.660-3.750. Saham pilihan antara lain BBRI dan INTP.

4. Woori Korindo Securities
Dalam dua hari berturut-turut, IHSG menguat lebih dari 2% dan akhirnya kembali berada di atas level median bolinger band untuk mematahkan pola downtrend yang dibentuk pada koreksi tiga hari sebelumnya. Dengan melihat kondisi RSI yang penguatannya mulai berada di atas 50 dan stochastic oscilator yang berhasil membentuk pola golden cross, IHSG berpeluang menjaga momentum positifnya sepanjang tidak ada gejolak yang berarti dari isu global maupun regional. Kami perkirakan IHSG bergerak pada kisaran level 3.657-3.727, dengan saham pilihan BUMI, INDF, MPPA, HRUM, dan BJBR.

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 3 Desember 2010

Untuk perdagangan Jumat, 3 Desember 2010, HD Capital merekomendasikan empat saham pilihan, yakni London Sumatera (LSIP), Berau Energy (BRAU), Indo Tambangraya Megah (ITMG), dan Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) untuk dibeli.
BUY: (LSIP, BRAU, ITMG, PGAS)
  • Bila terjadi pullback ke 3.640 akibat koreksi regional rekomen akumulasi untuk antisipasi teknikal rebound senin nanti.
  • IHSG close (02-12) 3.694.094 (+75.486/+2.09%) (Val.Rp.6.0T)
  • Support: 3.640-3.575, Resistance: 3.750-3.770-3.800
 
Stock picks:
1.    London Sumatra (LSIP): (BUY) (Target: Rp 12.450) (close 02/12 Rp 12.000)
  • Bila terjadi koreksi untuk menutup price gap bawah di Rp 11.850-11.700 rekomen akumulasi, karena buy signal dari stochastic harian memberikan sinyal bahwa tren turun sudah mulai selesai.
  • Pasar masih optimistis terhadap outlook karet dan harga CPO yang dapat offset penurunan produksi sehingga menaikkan proyeksi laba 2010 & 2011F sebesar 6.1% dan 13%.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 11.850, Entry (2) Rp 11.700, Cut loss point: Rp 11.500
 
2.   Berau Coal (BRAU) (BUY): (Target: Rp 545) (Close 02/12 Rp 510)
  • Emiten batubara laggard ini berpotensi untuk adjustment ke atas mengikuti sektornya.
  • Secara operational perseroan cukup efisien, dengan operating profit margin 2010 sebesar 27.8%, tertinggi di sektornya setelah ADRO (29%).
  • Entry (1) Rp 510, Entry (2) Rp 490, Cut loss point: Rp 470
 
3.   Indo Tambang Raya (ITMG) (BUY): (Target: Rp 49.650) (Close 02/12 Rp 47.750)
  • Penguatan harga batubara di atas $100/ton untuk jangka waktu lumayan lama dapat membuat appresasi harga cadangan batubara beberapa tambang terakuisisi tahun ini dimana produksi akan mulai terasar di 2011F.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 46.850, Entry (2) 46.000, Cut loss point: Rp 45.700
 
4.   Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) (BUY) (Target: Rp 4.850) (close 02/12 Rp 4.600)
  • Bila ada koreksi minor rekomen akumulasi karena tren jangka pendek sudah mulai berubah naik dengan di confirm oleh indicator daily stochastic dan MACD yang memberikan signal BUY.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 4.500, Entry (2) Rp 4.375, Cut-loss point: Rp 4.300
 
Dibuat oleh:
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital. (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)