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Friday, August 12, 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 12 Agustus 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Jumat, 12 Agustus 2011.
BUY:  PGAS, ASII, BBRI, ADRO
  • Proses upward retracement IHSG dari keadaan jenuh jual (oversold) untuk menguji resistance atas di moving crossover dead cross average 5 dan 50 harian (3.920) sudah dimulai rekomen melirik emitten big cap yang masih mempunyai gap atas yang belum tertutup. 
  • IHSG close (11-08) 3.840.141(-23.069/-0.60%) (Val.Rp.3.6T)
  • Support: 3.730-3.650-3.550, Resistance: 3.925-4.060
 
Stock picks:
1.     Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) (BUY) (Target Rp 3.575) (Close 11/08 Rp 3.350)
  • Diperkirakan fair value fundamental saham ini seharusnya di atas Rp 3.300 dan secara technical memang ada price gap antara Rp 3.525-3.600 yang belum tertutup sehingga membuka potensi untuk kenaikan harga.
  • Entry (1) Rp 3.350, Entry (2) Rp 3.250, Cut loss point: Rp 3.175.
 
2.    Astra International (ASII) (BUY): (Target: Rp 69.500) (Close 11/08: Rp 67.000)
  • Dilihat dari daily stochastic 5 harian yang sudah mulai berjalan menyebrang 50-line, momentum kenaikan sedang dibangun di ASII sehingga potensi untuk meneruskan perjalanan ke resistance price gap Rp 69.500
  • Entry (1) Rp 67.150, Entry (2) Rp 66.000, Cut loss point: Rp 65.000.
 
3.    Bank BRI (BBRI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 6.950) (Close 11/08 Rp 6.450)
  • Sektor perbankan memiliki kapitalisasi terbesar di IHSG (33%) sehingga bisa dipastikan akan memimpin momentum market dalam technical rebound.
  • Outlook suku bunga dan kepercayaan konsumen masih optimis didukung oleh rupiah stabil dan tidak terpengaruhnya sector mikro UKM terhadap factor luar. 
  • Entry: (1) Rp 6.350, Entry (2) Rp 6.250, Cut loss point: Rp 6.150
 
4.   Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.550) (Close 11/08 Rp 2.300).
  • Sektor pertambangan batubara (coal) memiliki 20% dari kapitalisasi IHSG, dimana emiten dengan kapitalisasi terbesar adalah ADRO, yang secara teknikal memang berpeluang untuk menutup price gap atas di Rp 2.550 dalam jangka waktu dekat ini.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.250, Entry (2) Rp 2.200, Cut loss point: Rp 2.100



Dibuat oleh:
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas,12 Agustus 2011

Rekomendasi beberapa sekuritas untuk perdagangan Jumat, 12 Agustus 2011.

1.E-Trading Securities
IHSG kemarin ditutup naik 5,7 poin (0,15%) ke level 3.869. Asing masik mencetak net selling, kali ini Rp 651 miliar. Secara teknikal, IHSG masih berpotensi menguat melihat indikator stochastic yang masih bergerak uptrend. Hari ini, indeks diprediksi bergerak pada range 3.828-3.906. Cermati GGRM , PTBA, dan DEWA.

2. Sinarmas Sekuritas
Pada perdagangan Jumat (12/8), secara teknikal, indeks diperkirakan akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat pada kisaran 3.817-3.893. Saham-saham yang dapat diperhatikan untuk speculative buy adalah GGRM, UNVR, BSDE, CMNP.

3. Sucorinvest Central Gani
Penguatan indeks kemarin terjadi di tengah-tengah penurunan bursa global akibat kekhawatiran penyebaran krisis utang Eropa. Secara teknikal, IHSG hari ini diperkirakan berfluktuasi pada kisaran 3.807-3.891. Buy BTEL, INDF, UNVR, hold BNBR, MEDC, TINS, dan sell BNGA.

4. Universal Broker Indonesia
IHSG hari ini diprediksi bergerak mixed. Investor diperkirakan masih wait and see dan menanti pergerakan Dow Jones. Jika Dow Jones mampu rebound dengan kembali ke level diatas 11.000, indeks akan bergerak di level resistance 3.870-3.875 dan support 3800. Investor asing kini dilanda kepanikan, sehingga terus membukukan net selling. Saham-saham blue chip yang bisa dikoleksi antara lain ASII, BMRI, BBRI, INDF. Sementara untuk lapis kedua, amati  MAPI, CPIN, GJTL.  

Thursday, August 11, 2011

Indonesia's July tin exports rise 4.5 pct yr/yr

Indonesia's refined tin exports rose 4.5 percent in July from the same month last year but were down almost 15 percent from last month, an official at the trade ministry said on Tuesday. 


Indonesia, the world's top tin exporter, shipped 9,265.72 tonnes of refined tin in July, compared with 8,869.51 tonnes in July last year, trade ministry data showed. In June, tin exports were 10,875.25 tonnes. 


Trade ministry data showed that Indonesia's tin exports from January until July this year were 59,430.23 tonnes. 


"Tin production is normal so far, however with prices dropping recently, output and export volume are automatically following the price trend," said Rudi Irawan, vice chairman at the Indonesian Tin Industry Association and director at independent smelter CV Stania Prima.


At 0506 GMT, benchmark tin on the London Metal Exchange was at $22,500 a tonne after falling by 7.6 percent on Monday, as investors dumped riskier assets in a global rout triggered by fears political leaders are failing to tackle debt crises in the United States and Europe.

Tin struck a record high above $33,000 in April. 


A crackdown on illegal mining on the main producing islands of Bangka and Belitung, tighter export rules, declining onshore reserves and rain that has hindered production in Indonesia helped drive the tin rally earlier this year. 


Indonesia expects to produce 90,000 tonnes of refined tin this year, up from 78,965 tonnes in 2010, on expectations of improved weather conditions.

Indonesia's dry season started in most areas around May-June, the Climatology, Meteorology, and Geophysics Agency has said. Source: Reuters

Indonesia's cement sales in July rise 17 pct y/y

Indonesia's cement sales, an indicator of economic growth in Southeast Asia's biggest economy, rose 17 percent in July from a year ago, data from the Indonesian Cement Association (ASI) showed on Thursday. 

Sales in July were above the association's expectation of a 6 percent rise, supported by demand for housing, offices and hotel construction by the private sector, Urip Trimuryono, chairman of the association. Source: Reuters

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 10 Agustus 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Kamis, 11 Agustus 2011.
BUY:  ASRI, ASII, CPIN, ADRO

  • Bila terjadi koreksi kembali untuk menutup price gap bawah akibat kenaikan terlalu tajam kemarin bisa dijadikan momentum untuk akumulasi karena IHSG sudah masuk tahap konsolidasi untuk menahan downtrend lebih lanjut.


  • IHSG close (10-08) 3.863.641(+128.460/+3.44%) (Val.Rp.3.6T)


  • Support: 3.730-3.650-3.550, Resistance: 3.925-4.060




Stock picks:

1.     Alam Sutera (ASRI) (BUY) (Target Rp 430) (Close 10/08 Rp 405)

  • Outlook sektor property masih optimistis, rekomen mengambil posisi pada koreksi pullback untuk menutup gap bawah antara Rp 395-375.


  • Entry (1) Rp 390, Entry (2) Rp 375, Cut loss point: Rp 365


 


2.    Astra International (ASII) (BUY): (Target: Rp 69.500) (Close 10/08: Rp 67.850)

  • Bila terjadi koreksi untuk kembali menutup price gap antara Rp 66.000-64.000 rekomen akumulasi untuk proses upward retracement.


  • Entry (1) Rp 66.000, Entry (2) Rp 64.100, Cut loss point: Rp 62.550.


 

3.    Chaoren Pokphand (CPIN) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.800) (Close 10/08 Rp 2.575)

  • Permintaan ayam  yang diperkirakan meningkat untuk sisa akhir tahun depan, cost import bahan makanan yang turun dari menguatnya kurs dan proses produksi integrated merupakan katalis positif untuk akumulasi pada pullback atau koreksi minor.


  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.475, Entry (2) Rp 2.300, Cut loss point: Rp 2.150



 

4.   Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.550) (Close 09/08 Rp 2.450).

  • Sektor pertambangan batubara (coal) memiliki 20% dari kapitalisasi IHSG, dimana emiten dengan kapitalisasi terbesar adalah ADRO, yang secara teknikal memang berpeluang untuk menutup price gap atas di Rp 2.550 dalam jangka waktu dekat ini.


  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.350, Entry (2) Rp 2.250, Cut loss point: Rp 2.175




Dibuat oleh: 

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 11 Agustus 2011




Rekomendasi beberapa sekuritas untuk perdagangan Kamis, 11 Agustus 2011. 

1. E-Trading Securities
IHSG kemarin ditutup naik 128,5 poin (3,44%) ke level 3.863.58 mengikuti kenaikan bursa global. Namun, asing masih membukukan net selling, kali ini Rp187 miliar. Secara teknikal, IHSG masih berpotensi melanjutkan penguatan, melihat candlestick yang membentuk pola bullish dan stochastic berpotensi membentuk golden cross. Hari ini, indeks diperkirakan bergerak pada range 3.793-3.905 dengan kecenderungan menguat. Cermati UNTR, BSDE, dan KLBF.

2. Reliance Securities
Sentimen positif datang dari data surplus perdagangan Tiongkok yang semakin melebar dan keputusan The Fed mempertahankan suku bunga rendah hingga dua tahun ke depan. IHSG kembali bergerak pada tren bullish dengan batasan selanjutnya level  3.909. Potensi upside masih luas. IHSG saat ini bergerak menuju Wave B elliot pada 3.987. Stoploss berada di level 3774. Saham-saham yang masih menarik PGAS, BORN, ADRO dan KLBF.  

3. Sucorinvest Central Gani  
IHSG hari ini diperkirakan menguat pada kisaran 3.807-3.891. Short term MA bearish, sementara long term MA bullish. Namun, klinger oscillator underperform mendatar di area negatif, demikian dengan daily MACD. Buy ADRO, BYAN, hold AKRA, ASII, BBCA, BBRI, BDMN, dan sell TLKM.

4. Sinarmas Sekuritas
Pada perdagangan Kamis (11/8), secara teknikal, indeks diperkirakan akan bergerak mixed dengan kecenderungan menguat pada kisaran 3.850-3.940. Saham-saham yang dapat diperhatikan ADRO, BMRI, ASII, UNTR

Wednesday, August 10, 2011

Bank Indonesia Will Use Dollars to Buy Government Bonds

Bank Indonesia will use dollars to buy rupiah government bonds in order to manage cash reserves and maintain the stability of the currency, it announced today. 

The central bank will buy the debt at special auctions, said Hendar, Bank Indonesia’s director of monetary policy, who goes by only one name. 

“We’ll hold auctions if the rupiah depreciates because of investors selling government bonds,” he said. “With this tool, the central bank can manage the volatility of the currency, and at the same time it will add to Bank Indonesia’s stock of government bonds.” 

Indonesia’s growth outlook and relatively high yields are luring funds from developed nations with near-zero interest rates, creating volatility in the rupiah. Another round of so- called quantitative easing, increasing the amount of U.S. funds available to be invested abroad, looks more likely after the Federal Reserve said yesterday it was prepared to employ additional tools to spur the world’s largest economy. 

The rupiah strengthened 0.6 percent to 8,533 per dollar as of 4:43 p.m. in Jakarta and has advanced 5.2 percent this year. Bank Indonesia left borrowing cost unchanged at 6.75 percent yesterday. It last raised its benchmark rate by 25 basis points, or 0.25 percentage point, in February. Consumer prices rose 4.61 percent in July from a year earlier, easing from a 5.54 percent gain in June. Source: Bloomberg

Good time now to buy Indonesian stocks: Schroders

An increasingly uncertain economic outlook in the United States and Europe will have relatively little effect on Indonesia's robust fundamentals, instead offering investors a good opportunity to buy equities in Southeast Asia's largest economy, a Schroders fund manager said.

Indonesia's main stock market index , Southeast Asia's best performing equity market, has gained around 4 percent this year.

In line with other volatile equity markets, however, Jakarta stocks fell more than 6 percent on Tuesday, as investors worried about the debt crises in the United States and Europe.

"The Indonesian economy should be relatively less impacted but the stock market should be very much correlated with the volatility of the global stock markets," Kiekie Boenawan, head of investment at Schroder Investment Management Indonesia (SIMI), said in an email late on Tuesday.

"It should present a good opportunity to accumulate Indonesian equities as fundamentals are not impacted as much -- relative to other developed economies."

Asian stocks clawed back some lost ground on Wednesday, following a rebound in U.S. shares, after the Federal Reserve made an unprecedented pledge to keep interest rates near zero for at least two years, stemming a global equity rout for the time being.

But economic growth in the archipelago of 17,000 islands is expected to be 6.6 percent this year, and growing slightly higher in 2012.

"The impact on the Indonesian economy will be relatively less due to Indonesia's low exposure to exports and also due to the low leverage of the economy," added Boenawan. "Most companies are experiencing net cash or very little debt.

"Assuming a 6 percent real growth and an average of 5 percent inflation, we could reasonably expect the stock market to deliver around 13 percent growth in return and dividends next year from this level."

TOP HOLDINGS The Jakarta-based fund company was established in 1991. At the end of July, SIMI had $6.9 billion under management, with around 75-80 percent invested in equities and the remaining in fixed income assets.

Investment decisions in each SIMI fund is based upon contributions and ideas from the investment team of analysts and portfolio managers.

Astra International , Indonesia's biggest listed firm and main vehicle distributor, Bank Mandiri and Bumi Resources are among the main holdings of its equity funds, according to data on its website.

Property stocks are a top pick for Schroders' Indonesian funds, due to the rising levels of middle-income earners and low interest rates, Boenawan said.

Indonesia's central bank held its benchmark overnight policy rate at 6.75 percent on Tuesday for a sixth straight month after July inflation slowed to a 14-month low.

"Property sectors have also been experiencing a surge in demand and prices mainly on the back of rising middle income affluence, low interest rate, and rising direct investments in Indonesia," Boenawan said.

Indonesia expanded at a robust 6.5 percent on year in the second quarter of 2011, at a time when the outlook for the global economy is increasingly uncertain.

"Despite the rising demand and prices in the real physical market, the prices of the property stocks have yet to fully reflect its fundamentals," he added.

Least favoured Indonesian equities for Schroders include telecommunication firms due to a crowded business space, and cement companies.

"For telecommunication, the industry is crowded and has been experiencing fierce price competition since the last 3 years," Boenawan said.

"For cements, although demand is quite robust especially given the rising property prices, the industry has not been able to raise prices further without inviting competition from imported clinkers." Source: Economic Times

Hankook in bidding for Indonesia’s P.T. Multistrada

Hankook Tire Co. Ltd., which recently broke ground on a $353 million tire plant in Indonesia, is among the bidders to buy Indonesia’s P.T. Multistrada Arah Sarana Tbk., whose flag brands are Achilles, Corsa and Strada.

Hankook confirmed it’s involved in the bidding process for Bekasi, Indonesia-based P.T. Multistrada, which reported $220 million in sales in fiscal 2010 and $117 million through the first six months of 2011. The firm generates about three-fourths of its revenue from exports.

News reports from Indonesia also identify TPG Capital L.P.—which last year acquired Huntersville, N.C.-based American Tire Distributors Holdings Inc.—and Japan’s Yokohama Tire & Rubber Co. Ltd. as companies engaged in the bidding process.

P.T. Multistrada has operated under that name since 2004, when investors took over P.T. Oroban Perkasa and undertook a three-year, $100 million modernization of the plant in Bekasi. The firm lists annual capacities of 8.3 million consumer and 4.7 million motorcycle tires.

Multistrada also produces private label tires for a number of U.S. distributors.
Hankook did not comment on its reasons for bidding on Multistrada. The plant that Seoul, South Korea-based Hankook is building in Bekasi is designed to be an export base for the North America and Middle East markets, as well as a regional business hub for emerging Asian markets.

During the first phase of development, Hankook said it anticipates initial capacity of approximately 6 million tires per year, with more than half of that capacity dedicated to the U.S. market. Source: Tire Business

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 9 Agustus 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Selasa 9 Agustus 2011.
Kode saham                       Volume                   Jual                      Beli
AALI 2,399,000 441,000 642,000
ABDA 790,000 0 250,000
ACES 89,000 10,500 89,000
ADMG 61,332,500 215,000 1,536,500
AISA 9,964,500 0 2,377,500
AKRA 36,511,000 2,342,500 4,398,500
AMAG 13,891,500 0 1,000,000
ASGR 13,247,000 30,000 951,000
BBKP 49,072,000 798,000 4,151,000
BBTN 16,877,000 143,000 3,593,000
BHIT 123,168,500 502,000 7,578,000
BKSL 393,797,000 1,372,000 23,250,000
BLTA 27,083,500 179,000 491,500
BMTR 10,518,000 367,000 5,342,500
BPFI 231,000 0 200,000
BRAU 17,102,000 0 6,516,500
BRMS 12,203,500 0 3,090,500
BUDI 7,033,000 0 3,573,000
BWPT 16,438,500 137,000 8,691,000
BYAN 155,500 76,500 153,000
CFIN 27,152,000 700,000 6,399,500
CPIN 71,861,500 4,735,000 6,587,000
DAVO 16,223,000 0 3,180,000
DEWA 620,481,500 2,582,500 11,188,000
EMDE 8,220,500 1,180,000 1,740,500
EMTK 165,000 0 157,500
ETWA 7,821,500 50,000 1,020,000
GZCO 1,638,500 0 1,011,500
IGAR 7,250,000 0 4,219,000
IMAS 3,528,500 675,500 1,615,000
INCO 15,544,500 3,585,500 6,643,000
INDY 12,712,500 2,250,500 2,542,500
JAWA 7,113,000 10,000 300,000
JPFA 5,528,000 66,000 357,500
JPRS 8,240,500 50,000 100,000
JSMR 15,548,000 826,500 977,500
JTPE 8,949,500 0 12,500
KIAS 2,871,500 0 17,500
KKGI 409,500 0 60,000
LPCK 61,011,500 488,000 506,500
LSIP 18,314,500 4,753,500 11,280,000
LTLS 1,828,000 0 633,000
MAIN 12,839,500 55,000 1,343,000
MDRN 403,000 182,000 348,500
MFIN 351,000 0 219,500
MICE 8,629,000 0 100,000
MITI 12,985,500 0 3,500,000
MLIA 208,000 0 124,500
MLPL 41,455,000 40,500 1,000,000
MNCN 13,115,000 1,095,500 3,730,000
MTLA 7,404,000 0 4,406,000
PGAS 131,774,500 17,221,500 19,573,000
PNIN 3,471,500 0 275,000
PNLF 17,335,500 1,280,000 4,450,000
PTPP 6,071,500 133,000 753,500
PWON 12,854,000 130,000 1,598,000
RDTX 96,500 0 96,500
ROTI 162,500 0 70,500
SCMA 295,500 50,500 257,500
SGRO 3,877,000 42,000 576,500
SIMP 49,004,500 9,090,000 11,394,000
SIPD 220,219,500 0 7,000,000
SMCB 7,321,000 598,000 1,226,000
SMRA 3,456,500 1,276,500 1,312,000
TBLA 41,327,500 14,000 541,500
TOTL 1,953,500 5,000 329,000
TRUB 204,185,000 0 500,000
TURI 6,795,500 0 1,628,000
UNSP 203,229,500 606,000 8,708,500
WICO 1,181,000 0 50,000
WIKA 5,397,000 544,000 933,500

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 10 Agustus 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Rabu, 10 Agustus 2011.
BUY:  PGAS, ASII, BBRI, ADRO
  • Proses upward retracement IHSG dari keadaan jenuh jual (oversold) untuk menguji resistance atas di moving average 5 harian (3.960) sudah dimulai rekomen melirik emiten big cap yang masih mempunyai gap atas yang belum tertutup.
  • IHSG close (09-08) 3.767.641(-82.768/-2.15%) (Val.Rp.3.6T)
  • Support: 3.730-3.650-3.550, Resistance: 3.925-4.060
Stock picks:
1.     Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) (BUY) (Target Rp 3.550) (Close 09/08 Rp 3.225)
  • Diperkirakan fair value fundamental saham in seharusnya di atas Rp 3.500 dan secara technical memang ada price gap antara Rp 3.525-3.600 yang belum tertutup sehingga membuka potensi untuk kenaikan harga.
  • Entry (1) Rp 3.200, Entry (2) Rp 3.050, Cut loss point: Rp 2.975.
 
2.    Astra International (ASII) (BUY): (Target: Rp 69.500) (Close 09/08: Rp 64.100)
  • Outlook penjualan mobil dan suku bunga yang masih kondusif membuat investor asing melirik saham dengan kapitalisasi terberar di IHSG yang masih belum menutup price gap atas di Rp 69.500 sehingga masih ada potensi upside.
  • Entry (1) Rp 63.800, Entry (2) Rp 62.700, Cut loss point: Rp 61.550.
 
3.    Bank BRI (BBRI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 6.950) (Close 09/08 Rp 6.400)
  • Sektor perbankan memiliki kapitalisasi terbesar di IHSG (33%) sehingga bisa dipastikan akan memimpin momentum market dalam technical rebound.
  • Outlook suku bunga dan kepercayaan konsumen masih optimis didukung oleh rupiah stabil dan tidak terpengaruhnya sector mikro UKM terhadap faktor luar.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 6.300, Entry (2) Rp 6.100, Cut loss point: Rp 5.900
 
4.   Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.550) (Close 09/08 Rp 2.250).
  • Sektor pertambangan batubara (coal) memiliki 20% dari kapitalisasi IHSG, dimana emiten dengan kapitalisasi terbesar adalah ADRO, yang secara teknikal memang berpeluang untuk menutup price gap atas di Rp 2.550 dalam jangka waktu dekat ini.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.250, Entry (2) Rp 2.200, Cut loss point: Rp 2.100
 

Dibuat oleh:
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Tuesday, August 9, 2011

Franciscus Welirang Jual 12.750 Saham Indofood

Franciscus Welirang yang menjabat sebagai wakil direktur utama PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF) menjual 12.750 saham INDF yang dimilikinya pada 4 Agustus 2011. Harga jualnya adalah Rp 6.500/saham.

Demikian keterbukaan informasi Franciscus Welirang kepada Bursa Efek Indonesia, hari ini.

Anak Usaha Indika Raih Kontrak US$ 746,3 Juta

Anak perusahaan PT Indika Energy Tbk (INDY), yakni PT Tripatra Engineers and Constructors (TPEC) bersama-sama dengan Samsung Engineering Co Ltd (konsorsium) telah menandatangani kontrak dengan Mobil Cepu Ltd senilai US$ 746,3 juta.

Kontrak yang ditandatangani pada 5 Agustus 2011 itu untuk pengerjaan EPC1 Production Processing Facilities yang terletak di Banyu Urip, Kabupaten Bojonegoro. "Bahwa sesuai dengan persyaratan yang ditentukan dalam kontrak dan untuk menjamin pelaksanaan pekerjaan kontrak oleh TPEC kepada Mobil Cepu Ltd, perseroan (INDY) telah menandatangani parent company guarantee tertanggal 5 Agustus 2011," jelas Corporate Secretary INDY Dedy Happy Hardi.

TPG, Hankook, Yokohama bid for Indonesia tyre maker-sources

* Salim Group, Tanuri eye over 40% stake sale for at least $200 mln-sources

* Acquisition will trigger mandatory offer for rest of shares-sources
* TPG placed bid with Northstar Pacific affiliate-sources 

Buyout firm TPG Capital, South Korea's Hankook Tire and Japan's Yokohama Rubber are among bidders for a controlling stake worth at least $200 million in Indonesian tyre maker PT Multistrada Arah Sarana , three sources told Reuters. 

Multistrada, Indonesia's No. 2 tyre maker, is controlled by one of the country's biggest conglomerates, the Salim Group, and veteran investment banker Peter Tanuri. Together they own over 44 percent of the firm through direct and indirect stakes and have effective control of the company through its board. 

An acquisition of a controlling stake by bidders would trigger a mandatory offer for the rest of the shares, which are publicly held, two of the sources said. Multistrada had a market value of about $360 million, based on Monday's close. 

The controlling shareholders have hired HSBC as adviser, and bids went in on Friday last week, two sources said.

Hankook Tire confirmed its bid in a regulatory filing on Tuesday. A decision could be made as early as this week, according to two sources with knowledge of the matter.
Sources were not authorised to speak to the media. 

Multistrada's vice president and director J Sukarman told Reuters the firm had not been informed by shareholders of any plans to sell. TPG, Salim Group and Tanuri could not immediately be reached for comment. Yokohama and HSBC declined to comment. 

Multistrada shares rose as much as 4 percent on news of the Hankook Tire bid, bucking a 1 percent fall in the benchmark Jakarta share index . 

Multistrada, which ships over 70 percent of its output to foreign markets, including the United States and Europe, produced 8.1 million tyres last year. 

Its net profit edged up to 176 billion rupiah ($21 million) last year, while revenue jumped 19 percent to 2.01 trillion rupiah, according to company accounts. 

TPG has bid jointly with its Indonesia affiliate Northstar Pacific, sources said. TPG in 2010 acquired U.S. company American Tire Distributors for $1.3 billion. ($1 = 8507.000 Indonesian Rupiah). Source: Reuters

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 8 Agustus 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Senin 8 Agustus 2011.
Kode saham                         Volume                  Jual                      Beli
AALI 985,500 225,500 287,500
ADMG 70,742,500 9,000 3,171,500
AISA 5,844,000 0 369,000
AMAG 35,173,500 500,000 2,500,000
AUTO 2,415,500 40,500 108,500
BBKP 32,787,500 1,327,000 4,134,000
BBLD 2,268,500 0 250,000
BBTN 47,543,500 5,567,000 15,916,000
BHIT 70,715,500 502,000 5,153,000
BMTR 9,931,000 107,000 3,791,000
BNBR 783,346,500 3,695,000 28,466,000
BNGA 6,426,500 695,500 4,226,000
BPFI 220,000 0 219,000
BSIM 2,115,000 5,000 24,000
BTPN 1,576,000 60,000 168,500
BUDI 5,850,000 0 3,018,000
BVIC 43,930,000 0 250,000
BWPT 13,330,000 8,087,000 10,774,000
BYAN 139,000 88,500 135,000
CLPI 8,168,500 0 2,105,000
CMNP 36,321,000 2,747,000 5,109,500
CTRA 20,624,000 1,371,000 2,317,500
CTRS 7,848,000 10,000 1,000,000
DEWA 366,878,500 1,190,000 5,153,500
DILD 12,523,500 114,500 1,020,000
ELTY 481,254,500 40,182,000 78,585,000
EMDE 9,853,000 2,033,500 3,078,500
EMTK 153,000 0 148,000
ENRG 916,703,000 28,932,000 38,600,000
EPMT 279,500 0 200,000
GPRA 15,105,000 0 29,000
GZCO 5,797,000 0 2,258,500
HEXA 1,419,000 311,000 1,083,500
IGAR 2,777,500 0 93,000
INCO 18,175,500 942,500 4,468,500
INTA 62,743,500 15,000 4,195,000
INVS 418,000 163,500 271,500
IPOL 66,154,500 0 11,500,000
ISAT 2,559,000 950,000 1,698,500
JAWA 12,367,500 685,000 2,000,000
JPFA 7,527,500 289,000 1,688,500
JPRS 3,320,500 0 342,500
KIAS 2,710,000 0 72,500
KKGI 669,000 38,000 175,500
KRAS 62,572,500 475,000 10,732,500
LPCK 40,734,500 172,000 5,647,000
LSIP 24,060,500 10,067,000 12,873,000
LTLS 793,000 0 13,000
MAIN 12,697,500 0 268,000
MASA 50,822,000 193,000 8,429,500
MDRN 325,000 21,000 141,000
META 9,413,000 0 378,000
MITI 19,092,500 0 5,000,000
MNCN 15,181,500 1,859,500 7,898,500
MPPA 6,060,000 100,500 106,000
MTLA 3,472,500 0 3,000,000
MYOR 475,500 122,500 206,000
NISP 60,000 0 58,500
PANS 1,608,500 0 230,000
POLY 40,690,500 0 1,619,500
PTIS 1,195,500 0 700,000
PTPP 6,495,500 33,000 1,501,000
ROTI 854,000 229,000 309,500
SDRA 4,869,000 0 759,500
SIPD 218,512,500 504,500 1,010,000
SMCB 7,888,000 1,262,500 1,310,000
SMGR 11,070,000 4,417,500 4,916,500
SMRA 11,676,000 5,499,500 8,600,500
SMSM 2,395,500 0 75,000
SSIA 53,376,500 225,000 1,915,500
TBLA 40,761,000 732,500 1,504,000
TLKM 32,303,000 6,521,000 26,658,500
TOTL 990,000 0 80,000
TRST 4,571,500 0 701,500
UNSP 153,242,000 1,788,000 8,866,000
UNVR 4,377,000 1,104,000 1,542,500
WIKA 2,847,000 47,000 625,000

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 9 Agustus 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Selasa, 9 Agustus 2011
BUY: (BBCA, ENRG, ADRO, KLBF)

  • Rebound pada sesi 2 di IHSG berhasil menurunkan level minus dari -200 pt hingga tinggal sisa 71pt sehingga potensi technical rebound dapat terjadi karena pada dasarnya bargain hunting oleh investor asing sudah dimulai.

  • Dalam koreksi dalam biasanya emitten dengan PER tinggi di sektornya atau di grup perusahaan akan dilirik terlebih dahulu versus PER rendah.

  • IHSG close (08-08) 3.850.44 (-71.377.42/-1.82%) (Val.Rp.3.8T) 

  • Support: 3.730-3.580, Resistance: -3.880-3.925-4.064

 

Stock picks:

1.       Bank BCA (BBCA) (BUY) (Target Rp 8.250) (Close 05/08 Rp 8.050)

  • Dalam koreksi pasar di antara emiten perbankan, rekomen BBCA walaupun diperdagangkan di PER tinggi (valuasi mahal) merupakan yang paling efisien dan menguntungkan secara operational (NPM atau net profit margin tertinggi di sektornya).

  • Entry (1) Rp 8.050, Entry(2) Rp 7.900, Cutloss point: Rp 7.700

 

2.    Energi Mega Persada (ENRG) (BUY): (Target: 215) (Close 08/08 Rp 205)

  • Di dalam universe saham grup Bakrie, PER tertinggi (valuasi termahal) dipegang oleh ENRG sehingga bila ada rebound di grup tersebut biasanya ia yang akan bermain terlebih dahulu.

  • Potensi earnings upgrade belum sepenuhnya di price in untuk saham ini.

  • Entry: (1) Rp 200, Entry (2) Rp 195, Cut loss point: Rp 189

 

3.   Adaro Energy  (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.400) (Close 08/08 Rp 2.325)

  • Dalam sektor batubara valuasi PER termahaldengan market cap terbesar dipegang ADRO, yang secara techincal juga lebih menarik dari lainnya karena posisi uptrend masih utuh.

  • Entry (1) Rp 2.325, Entry (2) Rp 2.275, Cut loss point: Rp 2.225

 

4.       Kalbe Farma (KLBF) (BUY): (Target: Rp 3.350) (Close 08/08 Rp 3.175)

  • Saham emiten produsen obat yang diuntungkan dari turunnya biaya import cost bahan baku obat dari menguatnya rupiah selama ini mempunyai valuasi PER tertinggi di sektor consumer sehingga cepat sekali membal pasca terjadinya koreksi.

  • Entry: (1) Rp 3.150, Entry (2) Rp 3.125, Cut loss point: Rp 3.075

 

 

Dibuat oleh: 

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)