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Tuesday, July 19, 2011

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 19 Juli 2011

Rekomendasi beberapa sekuritas untuk perdagangan Selasa, 19 Juli 2011. 
1. E-Trading Securities
Pada kemarin, IHSG naik 9,7 poin (0,24%) ke level 4.032.97, tertinggi sepanjang sejarah dengan net buying asing mencapai Rp 227 miliar. Secara teknikal, indeks rawan profit taking melihat candlestick mengindikasikan bearish reversal. Hari ini, pergerakan indeks ditaksir berada di kisaran 3.994-4.047 dengan kecenderungan melemah. Cermati PTBA dan ASGR.

2. Sinarmas Sekuritas
Pada Selasa (19/7), secara teknikal, indeks cenderung bergerak mixed pada kisaran 4.020-4.060. Saham-saham yang dapat diperhatikan UNTR, INDF, JSMR, BSDE

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 18 Juli 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Senin 18 Juli 2011.
Kode saham                        Volume                    Jual                       Beli
AALI 901,000 405,500 538,500
ACES 162,500 0 151,500
ADES 844,500 0 100,000
ADMG 29,879,000 25,000 500,000
ADRO 37,476,000 4,969,000 17,168,500
AISA 9,091,000 0 1,710,000
AKRA 12,541,500 1,533,000 2,189,000
AMFG 124,000 24,000 58,000
ASBI 2,422,500 0 109,500
ASGR 763,500 0 270,000
ASII 3,196,500 1,633,500 2,827,500
ASRI 73,602,500 824,000 26,875,500
AUTO 3,802,000 2,500 825,000
BBCA 4,176,000 2,313,000 2,764,000
BBLD 7,236,000 100,000 2,000,000
BBNI 28,599,000 7,232,000 22,662,500
BBTN 8,911,000 0 3,067,000
BHIT 34,154,500 0 9,962,500
BIPI 4,548,000 0 155,500
BJBR 8,674,500 147,500 4,286,000
BLTA 34,071,000 0 2,164,500
BMRI 28,230,500 18,631,500 23,084,000
BNBR 120,051,000 0 6,436,500
BNGA 792,000 31,500 94,000
BNLI 164,000 0 150,500
BORN 24,055,500 2,220,500 3,916,000
BSDE 21,120,000 5,197,500 14,250,000
BTEL 4,392,500 0 835,000
BUDI 25,935,000 1,250,000 3,898,500
BULL 5,111,000 0 101,000
BUMI 52,926,000 16,536,500 30,494,000
BUVA 8,046,000 0 100,000
BWPT 7,599,000 290,500 552,500
CMNP 3,689,500 0 100,000
CPIN 23,697,500 2,097,000 6,633,500
CTRP 3,548,500 0 615,000
DILD 3,232,500 0 256,000
EKAD 34,055,500 58,500 200,000
ELSA 3,211,000 0 24,500
ELTY 409,027,500 13,688,500 40,574,000
EMDE 2,793,500 0 2,055,000
EMTK 47,000 0 14,500
ENRG 121,586,000 26,464,500 70,763,500
EPMT 168,000 0 150,000
FASW 1,418,000 0 129,000
GIAA 12,876,500 0 143,000
HEXA 97,500 1,000 37,000
HRUM 2,268,000 700,000 1,102,000
ICBP 4,345,500 233,000 3,756,000
IDKM 3,052,500 0 101,500
IMAS 4,447,500 569,500 2,754,000
INCO 2,735,500 994,500 1,706,000
INKP 9,717,500 0 254,500
INTA 42,625,500 275,000 2,200,000
INVS 412,500 289,500 359,000
ISAT 809,500 130,500 660,000
ITMG 612,500 35,500 172,500
JKON 901,000 0 275,000
JSMR 5,986,000 0 3,479,000
KIJA 70,142,000 0 7,300,000
KRAS 10,603,000 680,000 2,566,500
LTLS 17,418,500 103,500 1,338,000
MAIN 9,418,500 0 14,500
MBSS 12,435,000 71,000 2,000,000
MBTO 1,621,000 500,000 1,471,500
MEDC 6,270,000 30,000 439,000
META 3,550,000 1,500,000 2,000,000
MIDI 1,419,000 377,500 870,000
MNCN 17,485,500 8,827,500 12,036,500
MTDL 4,923,000 100,000 168,000
PANS 1,155,000 0 368,000
PGAS 23,900,000 6,054,500 12,182,500
PNIN 1,711,500 0 500,000
PTIS 2,933,500 0 65,000
PTPP 7,150,000 0 5,518,000
ROTI 683,000 0 350,000
SCMA 402,000 30,000 399,500
SGRO 3,360,500 0 124,000
SMAR 253,500 2,500 11,000
SSIA 16,369,500 173,000 5,035,000
TBIG 2,710,000 400,000 2,447,500
TBLA 84,525,500 923,500 5,828,500
TOTL 1,808,500 12,500 1,000,000
TSPC 913,500 0 511,500
ULTJ 5,975,000 10,000 28,000
UNSP 45,066,500 0 5,131,500
UNTR 5,521,000 3,220,500 3,613,000
UNVR 796,000 517,500 538,000
WICO 259,500 0 100,000
WIKA 2,551,000 0 90,000

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 19 Juli 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Selasa, 19 Juli 2011.
BUY:  BORN, PGAS, INDF, UNTR
  • Diperkirakan IHSG masih akan bergerak dalam kisaran sideways untuk membuat kaki di atas level psikologis 4.000 dengan beberapa pilihan selektif blue chip dan 2nd liners yang menarik, terutama di sektor konsumen (menghadapi momentum lebaran), penyediaan energi domestik dan batubara.
  • IHSG close (18-07) 4.033.641(+10.439/+0.26%) (Val.Rp.3.6T)
  • Support: 4.020-3.996-3.890, Resistance: 4.100-4.175
 
Stock picks:
1.      Borneo Lumbung Energy & Metal  (BORN) (BUY) (Target Rp 1.570) (Close 18/07 Rp 1.430)
  • Kelihatannya pasar mulai optimistis bahwa perseroan dapat mencapai target volume produksi 3.5 juta ton untuk 2011 dan dan penambahan 5 ton lagi di akhir 2011 seiring dengan proyek penambangan baru.
  • Menurut perhitungan fundamental yang mengambil asumsi harga batubara yang meningkat, seharusnya saham in diperdagangkan di atas Rp 1.500 dengan PER 12x 2011F sehingga masih banyak potensi upside.
  • Entry (1) Rp 1.430, Entry (2) Rp 1.410, Cut loss point: Rp 1.380
 
2.    Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) (BUY): (Target: Rp 4.150) (Close 18/07: Rp 3.975)
  • Optimisme bahwa volume dan harga penjualan gas akan naik kedepan bisa offset sentimen negatif belum sepenuhnya terdiskon dalam pergerakan harga yang relatif diam selama IHSG mencetak all time high.
  • Entry (1) Rp 3.975, Entry (2) Rp 3.875, Cut loss point: Rp 3.800.
 
3.    Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF) (BUY): (Target: Rp 6.350) (Close 18/07 Rp 6.050)
  • Penguatan 1% dalam mata uang rupiah menaikkan asumsi laba penjualan mie instan hingga 4% sehingga hal ini dapat offset kenaikan cost 18% dari harga gandum impor.
  • Secara technical penutupan di atas level psikologis Rp 6.000 telah membuat formasi konsolidas segitiga breakout dengan target proyeksi di Rp 6.500.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 6.000, Entry (2) Rp 5.900, Cut loss point: Rp 5.750
 
4.   United Tractors (UNTR) (BUY): (Target: Rp 26.650) (Close 18/07 Rp 25.000).
  • Revisi kenaikan untuk target penjualan alat berat 2011 didukung oleh peningkatan suplai di 2H 2011 serta aquisisi tambang batubara tambahan merupakan katalis positif untuk akumulasi dengan scenario untuk menembus all time high Rp 25.650 untuk bermain diatas level psikologis Rp 26.000.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 24.650, Entry (2) Rp 24.150, Cut loss point: Rp 23.850
 


Dibuat oleh: 
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Monday, July 18, 2011

Bumi Resources Mineral Recommended "Buy", Samuel Sekuritas Said

PT Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ), an Indonesian mining company, gained 1.4 percent to 700 rupiah, after the stock was rated “buy” in new coverage at PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia, which said the company “has an ability to manage resource development and operating activities in developing countries.”

Indonesia cbank studies limits on bank ownership

* Cbank still assessing limits on ownership - Governor Darmin Nasution

* Any limit to force Temasek, TPG to cut stakes in local banks 

Indonesia's central bank is studying limits on ownership in commercial banks, at a time when investor interest in buying stakes in local lenders has picked up given the strong industry growth in Southeast Asia's biggest economy. 

Any regulation to limit foreign ownership would force Singapore state investor Temasek and private equity firm TPG Capital to cut their majority stakes in Bank Danamon and BTPN , respectively. 

"We are still assessing it (ownership limits). We still need to make lots of simulations to see the impact if it's implemented, how many banks would have to change etc," central bank Governor Darmin Nasution told reporters on Monday. 

"We cannot issue a regulation that isn't workable," he said.
No level of ownership or timeframe has been set, though Nasution said there was a possibility the regulation could be issued this year, with a lengthy transition period likely.
It is unclear whether state-owned banks, including Bank Mandiri and Bank Rakyat Indonesia , would be exempted. 

RISK CONTROLS
Indonesia currently allows investors, including foreigners, to hold up to 99 percent of local banks, an effort to spur growth following the 1997 financial crisis that caused the government to close down many domestic lenders. 

But banks' loan growth is now booming at over 20 percent a year, and so Indonesia is expected to see further banking consolidation as foreign buyers look to tap an emerging middle class and growing wealth. 

Any single entity trying to own 25 percent or more of shares already needs approval from the central bank, also the country's banking regulator.

The central bank is also assessing bank risk controls in the wake of alleged embezzlement at Citi Indonesia and local Bank Mega . 

Nasution has previously said he did not want banks to be controlled by one shareholder, during a hearing last year with the parliament that criticised the government's bailout of Bank Century, now called Bank Mutiara, during the financial crisis.

Temasek, which has run into trouble over ownership rules in Indonesia before, owns a 67.4 percent stake in the nation's sixth largest lender Bank Danamon, while TPG controls 59.7 percent of mid-sized lender BTPN.

It is not clear if the move could be applied retroactively.
"It is still very early stages now. It is a hugely complex move as many banks will have to sell down their stakes, find buyers, pricing etc. It's not gonna happen in a year," said Anand Pathmakanthan, a Singapore-based banking analyst at Nomura. 

"There is a precedent that some countries don't apply (such rules) retrospectively," he said.
"I think the banking system had a lot of bad press recently about profits being too excessive and obviously foreigners are a big part of the banking system." Source: Reuters

Indonesian 2012 price pressures could rise on oil subsidy removal-c. bank

Indonesia could face higher inflationary pressures next year if the government scraps fuel subsidies but the central bank remains confident it can achieve its 2012 inflation target of 4.5 percent give or take 1 percent, the deputy central bank governor said on Thursday.


"Next year, inflation may be a problem because the government may not lift its fuel subsidies this year but do it next year. Next year, the inflationary pressure will be stronger on the economy," Budi Mulya told a briefing organised by Asia House in London.

"We anticipate that inflation expectations will be managed. We are confident that we are prepared for the possible move," he added.

The government has indefinitely delayed a plan to wean private car users off cheap gasoline from the second quarter. But an official from the energy ministry said the government may ban private vehicles from using subsidised fuel after the Islamic festive season of Eid al-Fitr at the end of August.

On Tuesday, the central bank held its benchmark policy rate at 6.75 percent, the fifth consecutive month it has done so, saying inflation is likely to stay under control and implying it may have room to hold rates in coming months. Source: Reuters

Indonesia cbank: end-2011 inflation may be 5.7 pct if subsidy curbs

Indonesian central bank deputy governor Hartadi A. Sarwono said on Thursday that inflation could pick up to 5.7 percent at the end of the year if the government limited the use of subsidised fuel.

He said earlier on Thursday that inflation could ease to 4.9 percent by the year-end. June inflation slowed to a 12-month low of 5.54 percent, and Bank Indonesia said on Tuesday that it expected price pressures ahead to be under control.

But a director at the energy ministry said on Thursday that Indonesia may ban private vehicles from using subsidised fuel after the Islamic festive season of Eid al-Fitr, which falls at the end of August. Source: Reuters

Indonesia cbank sees Q4 GDP growth at 6.7 pct

Indonesia's central bank expects economic growth in the fourth quarter to reach 6.7 percent from the same period last year, monetary policy director Perry Warjiyo said last week.

Bank Indonesia estimated 2011 full-year GDP growth would range between 6.3 to 6.8 percent. Source: Reuters

Bank Danamon plans rights issue this year

Bank Danamon , Indonesia's sixth-largest lender and controlled by Singapore's Temasek , plans to launch a rights issue this year and will seek shareholders' approval on Aug 22, it said in a statement last week. 

It did not specify how much it wanted to raise through the rights issue. 

"The capital raised will enable us to continue to improve our market position in Indonesia and to take advantage of opportunities arising in the near term," said Henry Ho, Danamon's chief executive officer in an emailed statement. 

Danamon said it appointed Citigroup , Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE), and Danareksa Sekuritas as standby buyers and arranger for the plan. Source: Reuters

BCA sees 2011 mortgage loan growth over 35 pct

Bank Central Asia , Indonesia's biggest lender by market value, sees its mortage loan growth at over 35 percent this year, outpacing its overall loan growth of over 20 percent on strong consumer demand in Southeast Asia's biggest economy.

BCA, controlled by Indonesian conglomerate Djarum Group, competes with market leader Bank Tabungan Negara and Bank CIMB Niaga in the mortgage market, where its loan growth was about 30 percent last year.

"I think we can expand our mortgage loans up to 35 percent this year and perhaps could reach 40 percent next year given our low rate," Jahja Setiaatmadja, BCA's new CEO, told Reuters.

The bank's loan to deposit ratio is 56 percent, meaning it has to park extra reserves with the central bank, which from March said it wanted commercial banks to use at least 78 percent and up to 100 percent of their deposits for lending.

Setiaatmadja plans to leverage rising wealth in the country by focusing on the securities business after it acquired Dinamika Usaha Jaya, a small brokerage owned by Djarum Group.
"We want to tap electronic trading for retail investors who want to invest in money and equity markets, as well as wealth management," he said. Source: Reuters

Sulfindo eyes up to $400 mln in stake sale-sources

Sulfindo Adiusaha, an Indonesian chemical producer, aims to raise up to $400 million by selling up to a 40 percent stake to a strategic partner to pay maturing debts, three sources with knowledge of the deal said.

Sulfindo is raising money via a stake sale after it did not issue a five-year fixed rate dollar bond in January because of weak investor interest, said two of the sources, who declined to be identified because the deal was not public.

"The company has no choice left given it has a highly leveraged financial profile," one of sources familiar with the deal told Reuters. "They aim to raise between $250 million to $400 million by selling a 30 to 40 percent stake."

Sulfindo did not respond to Reuters queries seeking comment.

Macquarie has been appointed as the financial advisor for the plan, the sources said. Macquarie declined to comment.

Standard & Poor's on May 16 downgraded Sulfindo's credit rating to CCC from B-, saying it faced a prolonged delay in obtaining sufficient external financing.

"We believe Sulfindo has weak sources of liquidity to cover its needs in the next nine months. We expect the company's liquidity sources of about $135 million to be barely sufficient to cover our estimate of its liquidity needs of $125 million over the next nine months," the report said.

The firm is controlled by the Victoria Group, which is owned by Indonesia's Tanojo family, who also owns small lender Bank Victoria and brokerage Victoria Securities.

Sulfindo produces caustic soda, chlorine, ethylene dichloride, vinyl chloride and polyvinyl chloride (PVC), products used in the pulp and paper industry, water treatment and for pipes, according to the company's website. Source: Reuters

Indonesia's cement sales in June up 20 percent y/y

Indonesia's cement sales, an indicator of infrastructure growth in Southeast Asia biggest economy, rose 20 percent in June from the same month last year, according to data from the country's cement association.

"I am surprised. This is above our expectation of 6 percent (growth) this year," Urip Trimuryono, chairman of the Indonesian Cement Association, told Reuters.

Total sales from January to June this year rose 14.8 percent from the same period in the previous year, also above the association's forecast. Source: Reuters

Indonesia's June car sales fall 0.33 pct y/y

Indonesia's domestic car sales, an indicator of consumer demand in Southeast Asia's biggest economy, slipped 0.33 percent to 70,157 units in June from 70,388 units in the same month a year ago, showing the pace of growth has slowed in the second quarter.

Car sales were lead by Toyota , Mitsubishi and Daihatsu , according to data from the Indonesian Automotive Association (Gaikindo).

Total sales for the first half of 2011 were 417,687 units, up 12.8 percent from the same last year.

Sales in May rose 0.9 percent year-on-year after a 7 percent fall in April, following strong double-digit growth in the first quarter. Sales in 2010 surged 57 percent to a record. Source: Reuters

Timah sees lower exports, higher revenue

Indonesia's Timah , the world's largest integrated tin miner, expects a slight decline in sales this year, but revenue could rise on higher tin prices.

Production and sales of refined tin were forecast to reach 40,000 tonnes in 2011, down slightly from 40,413 tonnes in 2010 due to tough competition from illegal miners in the main producing island of Bangka and Belitung, Chief Executive Wachid Usman was quoted as saying.

"(But) with an increase in prices, revenue is likely to rise as well as profits," said Usman.
Timah told Reuters in February that the tin price in 2011 will be around $25,000 to $30,000 per tonne.


Benchmark tin on the London Metal Exchange was at around $27,00 a tonne, off a six-month low around $24,000 seen in June, when worries about a growth slowdown and European sovereign debt sparked selling.

Tin struck a record-high of around $33,000 in April.

The country's refined tin exports rose 35.4 percent in June from the year-ago period, as improving weather boosted mining and producers cashed in on a global price recovery to boost shipments, industry sources said this week.

Small smelters on Bangka and Belitung islands off Sumatra depend on small-scale traditional miners for about 80 percent of their ore supply.

The government brought in a new mining law in 2009 that restricts the operation of small-scale miners, who tend to operate in an undisciplined way, causing damage to the environment, and do not pay royalties. Source: Reuters

Indonesia's June tin exports rise 35 pct y/y

Indonesia's refined tin exports rose 35.4 percent in June from the same month last year, an official at the trade ministry. 

Indonesia, the world's top tin exporter, shipped 10,875.25 tonnes of refined tin in June, compared to 8,029.92 tonnes in June last year, trade ministry data showed. Source: Reuters

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, 15 Juli 2011

Saham-saham yang dominan dibeli asing, Jumat 15 Juli 2011.
Kode saham                        Volume                 Jual                       Beli
ABDA 2.396.500 826.000 1.155.500
ACES 12.000 0 12.000
ADHI 3.222.000 0 1.677.500
ADMG 34.359.500 0 90.000
ADRO 27.400.500 1.723.000 12.131.500
AISA 9.398.500 0 134.000
ALMI 1.338.500 0 325.000
AMAG 38.746.500 0 115.000
ARNA 9.164.000 0 529.000
ASGR 2.555.500 0 1.225.000
ASII 3.064.000 1.466.500 2.288.500
ASRI 191.029.500 6.149.500 64.119.500
AUTO 2.093.000 0 19.500
BBCA 12.540.000 3.486.000 9.733.500
BBKP 12.371.500 3.500.000 4.508.500
BBLD 18.360.000 550.000 2.125.000
BBNI 24.226.500 6.338.500 10.792.500
BBTN 13.143.000 559.500 4.924.500
BHIT 8.452.500 0 8.500
BISI 6.856.000 0 13.000
BJBR 22.052.500 1.266.000 1.367.000
BKSL 196.358.000 2.510.000 3.732.000
BMRI 38.731.000 16.770.500 25.027.500
BNBA 3.355.000 0 250.000
BNBR 85.698.500 30.000 7.856.500
BNII 328.000 3.500 137.500
BNLI 470.500 0 309.000
BPFI 9.000 0 7.500
BSDE 13.462.500 6.613.500 7.231.000
BTEL 5.464.000 0 185.000
BUDI 20.195.000 50.000 5.000.000
BULL 81.429.500 0 31.000.000
BUMI 40.839.500 15.668.000 25.901.000
BWPT 5.043.500 0 500.000
CFIN 4.393.000 0 739.500
CLPI 10.004.500 0 80.500
CPIN 8.157.500 471.500 3.486.500
CTRP 3.549.000 200.000 487.000
DILD 2.866.500 0 250.000
DOID 38.269.500 0 901.500
ELSA 87.143.500 0 109.500
EMDE 2.894.000 0 2.546.000
ENRG 84.068.000 0 3.007.500
ETWA 134.000 0 89.000
EXCL 3.105.000 1.863.000 2.608.500
FASW 723.500 0 55.000
GIAA 13.856.000 0 20.000
HEXA 85.000 30.000 45.500
ICBP 12.023.000 51.500 7.117.000
IMAS 3.133.500 266.000 1.842.000
INAI 1.206.000 0 150.000
INDF 11.012.500 4.104.000 8.161.500
INDS 988.000 0 22.500
INDY 6.385.500 877.000 1.315.000
INKP 3.091.000 0 267.000
INTA 70.857.000 610.000 12.910.000
INTP 2.015.500 971.500 1.608.500
INVS 307.500 188.500 272.500
IPOL 35.624.500 0 3.500.000
ITMG 552.000 91.000 104.000
JPFA 2.943.500 225.000 580.500
JSMR 5.434.500 436.500 754.500
KLBF 9.010.500 3.003.000 5.767.000
KRAS 9.587.500 25.000 2.894.000
LCGP 26.953.000 0 1.533.000
LTLS 2.900.000 0 110.000
MAIN 6.664.500 0 9.500
MAPI 2.887.000 957.000 1.722.500
MBSS 7.128.500 0 1.800.000
MBTO 6.408.000 5.374.500 6.300.500
MDRN 164.500 0 63.500
MICE 8.524.500 10.000 200.000
MIDI 757.500 247.500 645.000
MLPL 1.765.500 0 200.000
MYOR 171.000 37.500 62.000
PNIN 3.503.500 0 205.000
POLY 39.578.000 100.000 187.500
PTIS 7.942.000 156.000 406.500
PTPP 8.025.000 0 4.375.500
PWON 4.613.500 0 773.500
RALS 1.296.500 373.000 642.500
ROTI 83.000 0 45.500
RUIS 1.163.000 0 200.000
SCMA 60.000 0 45.500
SGRO 11.682.500 65.000 3.901.500
SMAR 17.500 0 5.500
SMGR 7.580.500 1.914.000 3.022.500
SMMA 502.500 0 7.500
SMSM 1.323.000 0 50.000
SSIA 31.016.500 0 400.000
SULI 356.000 0 100.000
TBIG 2.020.000 0 49.000
TBLA 28.952.000 66.500 729.500
TLKM 12.578.500 3.508.000 7.082.500
TOTL 2.955.000 10.000 1.392.000

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 18 Juli 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Senin, 18 Juli 2011.
BUY: (TLKM, PGAS, INDF, ASII)
  • Penutupan IHSG diatas all time high (4.023) dan dukungan dari Dow Jones yang masih positif di jalur hijau membuka ruang untuk saham big cap index drives yang terlupakan namun secara fundamental punya prospek menarik. 
  • IHSG close (15-07) 4.023.64 (+25.56/+0.64%) (Val.Rp.3.4T)
  • Support: 3.996-3.910-3.820, Resistance:4.050-4.125-4.200
 
Stock picks:
1.     Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM) (BUY) (Target Rp 7.400) (Close 15/07 Rp 7.150)
  • Mempunyai valuasi PER 2011 yang paling murah diantara big cap index drivers (9x), dan secara technical mulai keluar dari pattern downtrend pendek dengan breakout diatas Rp 7.100 dan membentuk higher low sehingga dapat disimpulkan bawah misi untuk mencoba mengetes resistance atas di Rp 7.250 dan price gap (Rp 7.400) sedang dalam proses berjalan.
  • Entry (1) Rp 7.150, Entry (2) Rp 6.950, Cut loss point: Rp 6.850
   
2.    Perusahaan Gas (PGAS) (BUY): (Target: Rp 4.150) (Close 15/07 Rp 3.975)
  • Mempunyai rasio profitabilitas (Return over Equity/ROE) yang paling tinggi diantara big cap index drivers BUMN (40%) dan secara technical mulai berkembang dari pola konsolidasi untuk breakout mengetes resistance atas di Rp 4.150.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 3.950, Entry (2) Rp 3.900, Cut loss point: Rp 3.850
 
3.   Astra International (ASII) (BUY): (Target: Rp 72.500) (Close 14/07 Rp 68.950)
  • Bila memang terjadi koreksi pasca mencetak all time high kemarin untuk menutup price gap pertama di Rp 68.800 bisa dijadikan kesempatan untuk akumulasi untuk ikut proses perjalanan uptrend yang masih berlangsung ini.
  • Entry (1) Rp 68.800, Exit (2) Rp 67.200, Cut loss point: Rp 66.700
 
4.       Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF) (BUY): (Target: Rp 6.150-6.300) (Close 15/07 Rp 5.950)
  • Dividen Rp 133/saham dengan cum tanggal 26 Juni, penguatan rupiah yang mengurangi beban utang dan import cost gandum dalam US$, daya beli masyarakat tinggi yang dapat menopang kenaikan harga mie merupakan katalis positif untuk akumulasi.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 5.950, Entry (2) Rp 5.850, Cut loss point: Rp 5.750
 
 
Dibuat oleh: 
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Monday, July 11, 2011

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 11 Juli 2011

Rekomendasi beberapa sekuritas untuk perdagangan Senin, 11 Juli 2011.
1. E-Trading Securities
IHSG pada perdagangan Jumat pekan lalu naik 64 poin ((1,63%) menembus level psikologis 4.003, tertinggi sepanjang sejarah, menyusul membaiknya bursa global dan regional. Net buying asing mencapai Rp 694 miliar. Hari ini indeks diprediksi berada di kisaran 3.962-4.038. Cermati HMSP, INCO, BORN.

2. Kresna Sekurindo
Indeks kembali mencetak rekor baru didorong menguatnya saham komoditas, seiring naiknya harga minyak. Data pengangguran AS yang diharapkan pasar mencapai 9,1% akan menjadi penggerak bursa global. Sementara IHSG hari ini ditaksir akan menguji level 3.960-4.050 dengan PTBA dan INDY sebagai saham pilihan.

3. Sinarmas Sekuritas
Pada perdagangan Senin (11/7), secara teknikal, indeks cenderung bergerak menguat pada kisaran 3.960-4.027. Data pengangguran AS akan memengaruhi indeks. Cermati HMSP, ITMG, SGRO, BJBR.

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 11 Juli 2011

Rekomendasi HD Capital untuk perdagangan Senin, 11 Juli 2011.
BUY: (BUMI, GJTL, ADRO) SELL: (ASII)

  • Keadaan jenuh beli (overbought) di indicator stochastic setelah kenaikan IHSG di atas all time high 4.000 dapat menyebabkan koreksi (profit-taking) di emiten blue chip index driver berkapitalisasi besar namun bila itu terjadi bisa terbentuk kesempatan untuk akumulasi.

  • IHSG close (08-07) 4.003.13 (+64.84/+1.29%) (Val.Rp.3.4T)

  • Support: 3.930-3.880-3.770, Resistance: 4.050-4.100

 

Stock picks:

1.     Bumi Resources (BUMI) (BUY) (Target Rp 3.100) (Close 08/07 Rp 3.025)

  • Bila terjadi koreksi di bawah level Rp 2.950 untuk menutup price gap Rp 2.800 (harga ini mendekati share swap dengan CIC di Rp 2.700) rekomen akumulasi untuk potensi technical rebound di BUMI dengan misi menutup price gap atas di Rp 3.100.

  • Entry (1) Rp 2.850, Entry (2) Rp 2.700, Cut loss point: Rp 2.550

 

2.    Adaro Energy (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.650) (Close 08/07 Rp 2.600)

  • Penembusan di atas high 9 bulan terakhir (Rp 2.600) dapat mengundang profit taking (koreksi) namun bisa dijadikan sebagai kesempatan akumulasi karena banya analis fundamental sudah meningkatkan proyeksi laba dan target mereka untuk sisa 2011 dan full year 2012.

  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.525, Entry (2) Rp 2.450, Cut loss point: Rp 2.400

 

3.   Astra International (ASII) (SELL): (Koreksi: Rp 66.500) (Close 08/07 Rp 67.800)

  • Keadaan yang jenuh beli (overbought) menyebabkan saham ini dapat terkoreksi hingga price gap bawah pertama (Rp 66.500) dan kedua (Rp 64.200) sehingga rekomen melepas posisi sebelum momentum berubah negatif.

  • Exit: (1) Rp 68.500, Exit (2) Rp 69.500, Reverse posisi: Rp 70.500

 

4.       Gajah Tunggal (GJTL) (BUY): (Target: Rp 3.125) (Close 08/07 Rp 3.125)

  • Kasus pemegang obligasi yang menuntut pembayaran dividen masih menghantui emiten ini sehingga rally tertunda, namun bila terjadi koreksi rekomen akumulasi karena kinerja laba persero diperkirakan sanggup untuk menyelesaikan masalah tersebut.

  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.925, Entry (2) Rp 2.875, Cut loss point: Rp 2.775

 

 

Dibuat oleh: 

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research HD Capital (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)