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Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Vallar Plc Announcement to London Stock Exchange

VALLAR PLC
16 November 2010
Source: vallar (klik here for information detail).

Vallar Plc ("Vallar" or the "Company") announces acquisition of holdings in
PT Bumi Resources Tbk ("Bumi") and PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk ("Berau")

Creation of London‑listed Indonesian coal champion

·      Vallar to purchase 75% of Berau and 25% of Bumi

·      Consideration of approximately US$3.0 billion made up of a combination of cash and new Vallar Shares

·      Significant benefits identified for stakeholders in each of Bumi, Berau and Vallar through:
-       maximising the potential of the largest coal producing assets in Indonesia
-       leveraging management experience, industry relationships and access to capital
-       exposure to the largest and fifth largest Indonesian coal producers by production (78Mt in 2010) with a significant resource base (12bn1, 2 tonnes in aggregate) and track record of profitability (EBITDA of US$350m3 and US$1,431m4 for Berau and Bumi respectively for last twelve months)

·      Exposure to the fast growing Indonesian and pan-Asian region

·      Intention to seek a Premium Listing on the Official List of the Financial Services Authority and trading on the Main Market of the London Stock Exchange and, subject to applicable laws, explore a potential listing on the Indonesia Stock Exchange

·      Collaborative partnership with two of Asia's most dynamic business families

·      Mandatory offer to be made to the minority shareholders of Berau and intention to increase ownership in Bumi during 2011

·      The Board of Directors of Vallar will be led by Indra Bakrie and Nathaniel Rothschild and will have a strong Indonesian presence. Vallar's existing board representatives will remain (with the exception of Robert Sinclair) and the Company will have a majority of Independent Non-Executive Directors. Sir Julian Horn-Smith is to be appointed as Deputy Chairman and Senior Independent Non-Executive Director

·      Bakrie Group will be the largest combined shareholder in Vallar with 43.0%5 of Vallar Shares and will have the right to nominate three directors including the position of Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer and will continue to control the management, operations and policy of Bumi

·      Consistent with Vallar's stated strategy at the time of its initial public offering ("IPO")

·      Vallar Plc will be renamed Bumi Plc

1 Aggregate of 100% of Berau and Bumi.
2 Measured, Indicated and Inferred resources
3 Based on 100% of the annualised Berau unaudited Indonesian GAAP financials for the year ending 30 September 2010
4 Based on 100% of the Bumi annualised unaudited Indonesian GAAP financials for the year ending 30 June 2010
5 Voting interest limited at 29.99% with balance held in Suspended-voting Ordinary Shares

Vallar today announced its intention to create a London-listed Indonesian resources champion through the proposed purchase of 25% of Bumi and 75% of Berau for a combined consideration of approximately US$3.0 billion. The Transactions will bring together significant holdings in Indonesia's largest and fifth largest coal producers by production and resource base and will create a diversified international mining company built around a significant project pipeline of base metals and other minerals. 

The potential of the proposed Acquisition represents the delivery of the Vallar strategy announced at the time of its IPO to seek to create shareholder value through establishing a business with significant operations in the global metals, mining and resources sector with the intention of increasing its scale and profitability by efficiently deploying capital to expand and enhance current operations and by recruiting and retaining experienced and specialist industry personnel for key management positions.

Commenting on the proposed Acquisition:

Indra Bakrie, proposed Chairman of Vallar, said:

"Today's announcement will bring together the world class assets of both Bumi and Berau to create an Indonesian global mining champion and the only major Indonesian company to be listed on the London Stock Exchange. This will enhance our international profile, provide a currency and platform for development in the region and puts us in a much stronger position to build on the organic growth that our combined assets already provide.  As a result, we expect to unlock significant value for shareholders."

Nathaniel Rothschild, proposed Co-Chairman of Vallar, said:  

"We are delighted to have taken this important step to deliver on the strategy that we set out at the time of Vallar's IPO in identifying and acquiring these attractive assets. The structure that we established through the IPO has enabled us to act quickly to secure these high quality assets, which we believe will create value for our shareholders.  I am also particularly pleased to be welcoming to the Board representatives of two such dynamic Asian business families and look forward to developing our strategy with them over the coming years." 

Ari Hudaya, proposed Group CEO of Vallar, said: 

"It is a very exciting time to be a mining company in Indonesia. The fundamentals of the metals and mining sector are compelling, given the strength of demand from China and India, and we are ideally located to capitalise on that growing demand. Indonesia itself also offers us many exciting growth opportunities as power consumption continues to grow in this politically stable and economically strong country."

This summary should be ready in conjunction with the full announcement attached including the Appendix which includes certain defined terms used throughout this announcement.


A presentation to investors and analysts will be made at 11:30am GMT today. This presentation will be broadcast live at www.vallar.com

For further information, please contact:  
Vallar:
01534 728 235
Nathaniel Rothschild
Sir Julian Horn-Smith



J.P. Morgan Cazenove:
020 7588 2828
Ian Hannam
Ben Davies
Neil Passmore



Finsbury:
020 7251 3801
Ed Simpkins

Clare Hunt



This announcement has been issued by and is the sole responsibility of the Company. No representation or warranty express or implied, is or will be made as to, or in relation to, and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by J.P. Morgan plc (which conducts its UK investment banking activities as J.P. Morgan Cazenove) ("J.P. Morgan Cazenove") or by any of its affiliates or agents as to or in relation to, the accuracy or completeness of this announcement or any other written or oral information made available to or publicly available to any interested party or its advisers, and any liability therefore is expressly disclaimed.

J.P. Morgan Cazenove, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority, is acting for the Company in connection with the Acquisition and no one else and will not be responsible to anyone other than the Company for providing the protections afforded to clients of J.P. Morgan Cazenove.

Credit Suisse, which is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the Financial Services Authority, is acting for Bumi, Berau and the Bakrie Group and no one else in connection with the transaction and will not be responsible to anyone other than the aforementioned for providing the protections afforded to clients of Credit Suisse nor for providing advice in connection with the transaction or this announcement or any matter referred to herein.

This announcement does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to purchase, otherwise acquire, issue, subscribe for, sell or otherwise dispose of any securities, nor any solicitation of any offer to purchase, otherwise acquire, issue, subscribe for, sell or, otherwise dispose of, any securities.

This announcement is not an offer of securities for sale or a solicitation of an offer to purchaser securities.  The securities of the Company referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and may not be offered or sold in the United States unless they are registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or an exemption from the registration requirements of the Securities Act is available.

The release, publication or distribution of this announcement in certain jurisdictions may be restricted by law and therefore persons in such jurisdictions into which this announcement is released, published or distributed should inform themselves about and observe such restrictions.

This announcement does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to purchase, otherwise acquire, subscribe for, sell, otherwise dispose of or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to sell, otherwise dispose of, issue, purchase, otherwise acquire or subscribe for, any security, therefore this announcement does not constitute a public offering in Indonesia under Law Number 8 of 1995 regarding Capital Market.

Certain statements in this announcement are forward‑looking statements which are based on the Company's, expectations, intentions and projections regarding its future performance, anticipated events or trends and other matters that are not historical facts.  These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward‑looking statements.  Given these risks and uncertainties, prospective investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward‑looking statements.  Forward‑looking statements speak only as of the date of such statements and, except as required by applicable law, the Company undertakes no obligation to update or revise publicly any forward‑looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.

No statement in this announcement is intended as a profit forecast and no statement in this announcement should be interpreted to mean that earnings per Ordinary Share for the current or future financial years would necessarily match or exceed the historical published earnings per Ordinary Share.


VALLAR PLC
16 November 2010

Vallar Plc ("Vallar" or the "Company") announces acquisition of holdings in PT Bumi Resources Tbk ("Bumi") and PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk ("Berau")

Creation of London‑listed Indonesian coal champion

Introduction

Vallar is pleased to announce its intention to create a London-listed Indonesian resources champion through the proposed purchase of 25% of Bumi and 75% of Berau for a combined consideration of approximately US$3.0 billion. The proposed Acquisition will create a diversified international mining company built around a significant coal production base in Indonesia and a project pipeline of coal, base metals and other minerals across Asia and Africa.

Together, Bumi and Berau will have 2010 calendar year expected production of 78Mt6 of coal and over 12bn tonnes of resources6.  The Company intends to be the first major Indonesian focused company to achieve a Premium Listing on the Official List of the Financial Services Authority and trading on the London Stock Exchange's main market for listed securities and also, subject to applicable laws, will explore a potential listing on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The Company will be renamed Bumi Plc.

Vallar believes that the proposed Acquisition will create a vehicle with exposure to the fast growing Indonesian and pan-Asian region.

Indonesia is the largest economy in Southeast Asia and is the third fastest growing country in the G20, behind China and India. Coal production in Indonesia has increased nearly 40% over the last five years and both domestic and export demand is expected to grow significantly. As the world's largest exporter of thermal coal, Indonesia is ideally positioned to benefit from growing import demand from Asian economies, particularly China and India. Indonesia's proximity to these key end markets facilitates reduced transportation costs for exporters relative to those in other major coal exporting countries such as Australia and Colombia.

Through Bumi's base metals subsidiary, PT Bumi Resources Minerals Tbk ("BRM"), Vallar will also have exposure to interests in copper, gold, iron ore, lead, molybdenum and zinc assets with the most significant of these being an effective 18% stake in the Batu Hijau copper/gold mine on the Indonesian island of Sumbawa.  BRM is currently seeking a listing on the Indonesia Stock Exchange as part of its IPO.

The proposed Acquisition will be treated as a "reverse takeover" for the purposes of the Listing Rules. Accordingly, following the release of this announcement, the Company understands that the Ordinary Shares will be suspended from trading on the Official List and on the London Stock Exchange.  The Company and its advisers intend to work closely with the FSA to provide the required information for trading in the Ordinary Shares to re-commence at the earliest possible date. The Company will provide updates to the market as appropriate.


6 Aggregate of 100% of Berau and Bumi



1.   The Acquisition

The proposed Acquisition will consist of:

·      Consideration of US$1,584 million paid by Vallar to Mutiara, a subsidiary of Recapital for 75% of Berau (at Rp.540 per Berau Share), comprising:
-       US$739 million cash consideration for 35% of Berau (US$639 million will be paid to Mutiara shortly after the signing of the Berau Transaction with the balance being subject to the escrow arrangement described below); and
-       52.3 million new Vallar Shares, issued at a value of £10.00 per Vallar Share, in consideration for 40% of Berau

·      Consideration of 90.1 million new Vallar Shares, issued at a value of £10.00 per Vallar Share, for 25% of Bumi from the Bakrie Group (comprised of approximately 62.7 million new Ordinary Shares and 27.4 million new Suspended‑voting Ordinary Shares).

The proposed Acquisition is expected to complete on or around 8 April 2011.

Purchase of 75% holding in Berau

Vallar's proposed purchase of 75% of Berau will trigger a Mandatory Cash Offer ("MCO") for the remaining issued share capital of Berau. The MCO will be made on the same terms as Vallar's acquisition at Rp.540 per Berau Share. Mutiara has undertaken not to accept the MCO in respect of those Berau Shares that it will continue to own following the closing of the Berau Transaction. The MCO will be triggered upon transfer of the registered title to the Berau Shares to Vallar by Mutiara, which is expected to take place on or around 8 April 2011 after the expiry of BCE Lock-up pursuant to which Mutiara is restricted from transferring its holding of Berau Shares until 7 April 2011. Prior to the release of the BCE Lock‑up, with effect from the Initial Berau Closing (which is expected to occur on or around 18 November 2010) Vallar will hold an indirect economic and voting interest in Berau through arrangements entered into with Mutiara. Completion of the Berau Transaction will take place on, or shortly after, the expiry of the BCE Lock-up

A portion of the Berau Shares proposed to be purchased will be acquired by the Vallar Subsidiary rather than Vallar itself and the Berau Shares proposed to be purchased by Vallar are expected to be transferred to the Vallar Subsidiary in due course.

J.P. Morgan Cazenove acted as financial adviser to Vallar in relation to the Berau Transaction and provided a fairness opinion. Credit Suisse acted as financial adviser to Berau in relation to the transaction.

Purchase of 25% holding in Bumi

Due to the size of its current shareholding in Bumi and the size of the interest it will acquire in Vallar following the closing of the Bumi Transaction, the Bakrie Group has agreed that part of the consideration it receives will be in the form of Suspended-voting Ordinary Shares in order to ensure that the Bakrie's Group's aggregate holding in Vallar will not exceed 29.9%. The Suspended-voting Ordinary Shares will automatically convert into Ordinary Shares in the event of further equity issues by Vallar provided that following conversion the Bakrie Group's holding of Ordinary Shares does not exceed 29.9% of the total number of issued Ordinary Shares. Bakrie Group will be the largest combined shareholder in Vallar with 43.0%7 of Vallar Shares and will have the right to nominate three directors including the position of Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer and will continue to control the management, operations and policy of Bumi

7 Voting interest limited at 29.99% with balance held in Suspended-voting Ordinary Shares

The transfer by B&BR (one of the members of the Bakrie Group) of Bumi Shares to Vallar is required to be approved by shareholders of B&BR at a shareholders' meeting which is expected to convene on or around 14 January 2011. The Bakrie family have irrevocably committed to exercise or direct the exercise of a sufficient number of the voting rights attaching to B&BR shares to ensure that the required shareholders' resolution to be put to B&BR's shareholders is passed at that shareholders' meeting. Completion of the Bumi Transaction will take place on, or shortly after, the passing of the aforementioned shareholders' resolution.

Under the terms of the Bumi Transaction, the Bakrie Group has agreed to pay US$150 million if the Bumi Transaction fails to complete in accordance with its terms as a result of their default. Of this US$150 million, US$100 million will be paid into an escrow account with J.P.Morgan Chase.

Subject to market conditions, applicable laws and regulations, a potential exchange offer on terms to be confirmed, issuing new Ordinary Shares in return for Bumi Shares, is being considered for the outstanding Bumi Shares not acquired by Vallar pursuant to the Acquisition.

J.P. Morgan Cazenove acted as financial adviser to Vallar in relation to the Bumi Transaction and provided a fairness opinion. Credit Suisse acted as financial adviser to Bumi and the Bakrie Group in relation to the transaction.

The shareholding structure of the Company following the completion of the both the Transactions is expected to consist of:

Bakrie Group
43.0%

Recapital (via Mutiara)
24.9%

Existing Vallar ordinary shareholders
28.3%

Vallar management and Founders
3.8% (pre-conversion of Founder Shares into Ordinary Shares)

Rothschild's Vallar Agrees to Buy Indonesian Coal Producers for $3 Billion

Vallar Plc, Nathaniel Rothschild’s investment vehicle, will buy 75 percent of PT Berau Coal Energy and 25 percent of PT Bakrie & Brothers’ PT Bumi Resources in a cash and stock transaction valued at $3 billion. 

The so-called reverse takeover will create a London-listed Indonesian “resources champion,” the St Helier, Jersey-based company said today in a statement. Bakrie Group will become the largest combined shareholder in Vallar -- to be renamed Bumi Plc -- and have the right to nominate the chairman, chief executive officer and chief financial officer. 

Rothschild, former co-president of New York-based hedge- fund firm Atticus Capital LLC and the son of British financier Jacob Rothschild, said in July he sought to acquire a mining business or operation after Vallar raised 707.2 million pounds ($1.07 billion) in an initial public offering in London. 

“The fundamentals of the metals and mining sector are compelling, given the strength of demand from China and India,” Ari Hudaya, proposed group CEO of Vallar, said in today’s statement. “Indonesia itself also offers us many exciting growth opportunities as power consumption continues to grow.” 

The company plans to make a mandatory offer to Berau’s minority shareholders and increase its ownership in Bumi in 2011, it said. 

Trading in Vallar shares in London is suspended. 

Rothschild ranks seventh in the Sunday Times list of the 25 wealthiest U.K.-based hedge-fund managers in an annual estimate of net worth known as the “Rich List.” He has an estimated fortune of 330 million pounds, according to the list published in April.Source: Bloomberg

Holcim Indonesia Lakukan Kuasi Reorganisasi

PT Holcim Indonesia Tbk (SMCB) berencana melakukan kuasa reorganisasi guna mengeliminasi kerugian di masa lalu akibat krisis 1997 senilai Rp 3,9 triliun. Kerugian ini timbul sebelum perseroan diakuisisi oleh Holderfin BV. Meski sudah mencetak untung selama 4 tahun berturut-turut, nilai kerugian yang ditanggung perseroan akibat kerugian kurs ketika krisis belum mampu ditutup.

Dengan masih menanggung defisit, perseroan tidak bisa membagikan dividen. Oleh karena itu, perseroan melakukan kuasa reorganisasi agar bisa membagikan dividen. Selain itu, tujuan diadakannya kuasai reorganisasi adalah perseroan dapat memulai awal yang baru denagn neraca keuangan yang menunjukkan nilai wajar saat ini tanpa dibebani defisit masa lampau.

Dengan neraca keuangan yang baru, perseroan diharapkan dapat lebih mudah memperoleh pendanaan dalam rangka pengembangan usaha dan meningkatkan animo investor untuk memmiliki saham perseroan.

Perseroan berencana melakukan kuasi reorganisasi dengan cara eliminasi saldo defisit dengan selisih penilaian kembali aset dan kewajiban. Nilai aset SMCB tercatat sebesar Rp 7,23 triliun dan selisih dengan nilai tercatat aset tetap adalah Rp 2,68 triliun. Dengan demikian, sesuai PSAK 51, selisih ini dapat dipakai untuk mengeliminasi defisit.

Kedua, eliminasi saldo defisit dengan tambahan modal disetor sebesar Rp 1,3 triliun.

Trader Mercuria acquires first Indonesia coal asset

Geneva-based Mercuria, one of the world's top five independent energy traders, said on Tuesday that it has bought a coal concession in southeastern Kalimantan, its first coal asset in Indonesia.

The concession covers 6,000 hectares of which 2,500 hectares are currently being exploited, the company said in a statement, adding that it planned to develop the operation into a 2 million tonne per year exporter of good quality bituminous coal.

"Mercuria has again shown its commitment to invest and further develop its energy and coal strategy in Asia by successfully acquiring its first Indonesian coal facility," said Geoff Kelly, global head of coal assets for Mercuria.

The company did not provide a value for the acquisition. Earlier this month, Mercuria announced the purchase of Florida-based carbon offset project developer MGM International from investment bank Morgan Stanley (NS.N). Source: Reuters

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 16 November 2011

 Berikut rekomendasi dari tiga sekuritas ternama mengenai kondisi bursa yang akan terjadi sepanjang hari, termasuk saham-saham pilihan yang patut Anda cermatin.

1. Sinarmas Sekuritas
Indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) secara candle chart membentuk pola three black candle setelah tiga hari terakhir terkoreksi. Dengan pola tersebut, diperkirakan hari ini akan ada peluang penguatan. Rentang pergerakan indek berada di level 3.619-3.700. Cermati: ADHI, WIKA, BBNI.

2. Panin Sekuritas
Indeks ditutup melemah pada perdagangan kemarin. Setelah sempat anjlok tajam, aksi beli menjelang penutupan berakhir mengikis penurunan yang terjadi. Melemahnya sebagian bursa regional asia serta turunnya harga komoditas menjadi katalis negatif bagi indeks. Hari ini kami melihat indeks masih akan bergerak volatile. Meski demikian, selective buying diperkirakan membayangi pergerakan pasar. Kisaran support-resistance 3.627-3.679.

3. e-Trading Securities
IHSG kemarin melemah 0,25% dan ditutup di level 3.656. Indeks melakukan rebound setelah mengenai level support di kisaran level 3.635 dan membentuk pola spinning top di daerah support yang dapat menandakan akan adanya reversal dan untuk mengonfirmasi reversal IHSG kemarin harus ditutup di atas 3.673. Dari RSI dan stochastic terlihat saham telah keluar dari area overbought dan IHSG mendekati garis 50%. Asing sendiri kemarin melakukan net sell Rp200 miliar di pasar regular. Hari ini IHSG masih akan bergerak di kisaran 3.635 – 3.700 dengan saham yang dapat diperhatikan BUMI,BRAU, ANTM dan UNTR.

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 16 November 2010

Untuk hari Selasa, 16 November 2010, HD Capital merekomendasikan empat saham untuk dicermatin dengan opsi beli, yakni PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA), Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BBRI), Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS), dan Aneka Tambang (ANTM).

BUY: (PTBA, BBRI,PGAS, ANTM)
  • Penutupan IHSG yang minus tipis setelah penekanan yang cukup dalam menandakan bargain hunting sudah dimulai di berapa saham selektif dan technical rebound tinggal menunggu waktu.
  • IHSG close (15-11) 3.656.46(-9.380/-0.26%) (Val.Rp.3T)
  • Support:3.630-3.580, Resistance: 3.690-3.770-3.850

Stock picks:

1.    PT Tambang Batubara Bukit Asam (PTBA): (BUY) (Target: Rp 21.800) (close 15/11 Rp 20.200)
  • Harga batubara Newcastle yang sudah di atas $108/ton dapat membuat revaluasi aset tambang serta menaikkan harga kontrak penjualan batubara ke PLN ke depan, rekomen akumulasi pasca koreksi hampir 10% beberapa hari lalu.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 20.100, Entry (2) Rp 19.500, Cut loss point: Rp 18.900

2.   Bank BRI (BBRI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 12.500) (Close 15/11 Rp 11.750)
  • Koreksi dari pencetakan new high kemarin di atas Rp 12.000 membuat pemain mikro segmen (UKM) yang menjadi salah satu index driver IHSG ini menjadi menarik kembali untuk akumulasi, terutama karena kondisi suku bunga sangat menunjang pertumbuhan kredit perbankan mikro.
  • Entry (1) Rp 11.700, (2) Rp 11.300, Cut loss point: Rp 10.900

3.   Perusahaan Gas Negara (PGAS) (BUY): (Target: Rp 4.400) (close 15/11 Rp 4.250)
  • Suplai gas yang mulai terjamin untuk jangka pendek, proyek terminal LNG untuk menjamin pasokan jangka panjang  serta potensi forex gain dari penguatan rupiah selama 9-bulan terakhir menjadi katalis positif untuk akumulasi PGAS pasca koreksi di atas new high Rp 4.300.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 4.225, Entry: (2) 4.150, Cut loss point: Rp 4.075

4.    Aneka Tambang (ANTM): (BUY) (Target: Rp 2.800) (close 15/11 Rp 2.575)
  • Beberapa katalis seperti IPO Bumi Mineral Resources & rebound komoditas (minyak) menunjang tren sector pertambangan secara jangka pendek, terutama nickel.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 2.550, Entry (2) Rp 2.450, Cut loss point: Rp 2.300


Dibuat oleh:
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital. (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)

Monday, November 15, 2010

Bank Danamon and Bank Rakyat Rated New at HSBC

Bank Danamon Indonesia was rated new "Underweight" at HSBC by equity analisyst Kar Weng Loo. The target price is IDR 4,700 per share.

Meanwhile, Bank Rakyat Indonesia in the same time was rated new "Neutral" at HSBC by equity analyst Kar Weng Loo. The target price is IDR 13,400 per share.

Indonesia’s Tin Exports Rise For First Time Since July

 Refined tin shipments from Indonesia, the world’s largest exporter, expanded last month for the first time since July because of higher prices, the country’s trade ministry said.
     Exports climbed 27 percent from a month earlier to 8,766.9 Commodities (CMD) metric tons, trade ministry data showed today. Sales were Commodities Markets 7,059.7 tons in October last year.
     Increased supplies may curb a rally that has seen prices of Metals (MET) the metal used for soldering and packaging jump 52 percent this year, driven by concern that heavy rains in Indonesia would lower production and shrink stockpiles amid rising demand.
     “Exporters increased shipments to take benefit from higher Tin (TIN) prices,” Djunaedi, head of mining exports at the trade ministry, said in an interview in Jakarta today.
     The metal was shipped by 26 Indonesian companies to 11 countries, including Singapore, Malaysia and Japan. Shipments to Singapore were 6,994.7 tons, or 80 percent of the total,
Djunaedi said. Indonesia has 34 registered tin exporters.
     In January through October, the country shipped 75,778.3 tons of refined tin, 8 percent less than the same period a year earlier, the ministry said.
     Tin shipments from the country may slump 19 percent this year to about 80,000 tons after a longer-than-usual rainy season caused by La Nina hampered mining, Alberth Tubogu, export director for mining and industry products at the trade ministry, said Sept. 20.
     Tin for three-month delivery on the London Metal Exchange Commodities Markets gained 0.2 percent to $25,750 a ton at 12:33 p.m. Jakarta time. Commodities reached an all-time high of $27,500 a ton on Nov. 9.

Mandiri Sekuritas Borong 837 Ribu Lot Saham BNBR

Mandiri Sekuritas memborong 836.999 lot saham Bakrie Brothers (BNBR) di harga rata-rata Rp 55,34. Aksi beli ini terlihat mencolok jika dibandingkan broker-broker lainnya yang tercatat tidak membeli terlalu besar.


Lautandhana Securindo, misalnya, hanya membeli 251.347 lot saham BNBR, Waterfront Securities Indonesia 193.502 lot, Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia 163.300 lot, dan Meridian Capital 100 ribu lot. Seluruh aksi beli ini dilakukan oleh investor lokal.


Akibat aksi beli ini, harga saham BNBR naik Rp 5 menjadi Rp 57. Ada kemungkinan salah satu penyebab maraknya akumulasi saham BNBR, terutama oleh Mandiri Sekuritas, disebabkan antisipasi keluarnya laporan keuangan perseroan kuartal III-2010 yang disinyalir lebih baik berkat kontribusi Bumi Resources.
 
1 CC MANDIRI SEKURITAS 1114 836,999 55.34 47 37,551 54.66 799,448 874,550
2 YJ LAUTANDHANA SECURINDO 369 251,347 54.67 41 45,900 54.56 205,447 297,247
3 FZ WATERFRONT SECURITIES INDONESIA 291 193,502 54.43 33 75,067 55.04 118,435 268,569
4 IF SAMUEL SEKURITAS INDONESIA 124 163,300 54.37 48 59,151 55.02 104,149 222,451
5 RF BUANA CAPITAL 93 90,196 53.00 7 1,370 54.89 88,826 91,566
6 BM MERIDIAN CAPITAL 100 100,000 54.60 4 20,000 55.00 80,000 120,000
90 ZP KIM ENG SEKURITAS 7 1,633 54.02 72 112,872 54.54 -111,239 114,505
91 PD INDO PREMIER SECURITIES 151 66,205 54.63 475 271,311 54.54 -205,106 337,516
92 YP ETRADING SECURITIES 105 34,446 54.76 743 268,919 54.67 -234,473 303,365

Sinarmas dan Indo Premier Borong 442 Ribu Lot Saham Berau Energy

Investor lokal melalui broker Sinarmas Sekuritas memborong 242.102 lot saham Berau Energy (BRAU) di harga rata-rata Rp 506,51. Kisaran pembelian banyak di harga Rp 500-510. Selain Sinarmas, investor lokal juga memborong saham BRAU melalui broker Indo Premier Securities sebanyak 200.165 lot, NISP Sekuritas 50.140 lot, Ciptadana Securities 107.142 lot, dan Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia 38.036.


Akibat aksi beli oleh investor lokal ini, harga saham BRAU naik Rp 30 menjadi Rp 510, tertinggi sejak IPO di harga Rp 400.


Aksi jual juga banyak dilakukan oleh investor lokal, melalui Valbury Asia Securities, CIMB-GK Securities Indonesia, dan Danareksa Sekuritas, masing-masing 335.944 lot, 60.133 lot,  dan 33.588 lot. Sedangkan investor asing menjual melalui Credit Suisse Securities Indonesia sebanyak 44.207 lot.


Meski ada aksi jual oleh Valbury sebanyak 336 ribu lot, harga saham BRAU mampu naik karena besarnya animo beli, terutama oleh Sinarmas Sekuritas dan Indo Premier.
 
1 DH SINARMAS SEKURITAS 565 242,102 506.51 44 5,845 505.72 236,257 247,947
2 PD INDO PREMIER SECURITIES 773 200,165 507.83 333 30,937 504.05 169,228 231,102
3 RO NISP SEKURITAS 210 50,140 502.02 12 1,815 502.01 48,325 51,955
4 KI CIPTADANA SECURITIES 286 107,142 501.91 174 69,715 506.66 37,427 176,857
5 IF SAMUEL SEKURITAS INDONESIA 91 38,036 504.36 9 3,400 506.18 34,636 41,436
98 CS CREDIT SUISSE SECURITIES INDONESIA 7 16,000 504.38 108 44,207 508.42 -28,207 60,207
99 OD DANAREKSA SEKURITAS 63 5,135 507.82 211 33,588 505.57 -28,453 38,723
100 YU CIMB-GK SECURITIES INDONESIA 124 23,830 497.44 124 60,133 501.13 -36,303 83,963
101 CP VALBURY ASIA SECURITIES 55 20,211 497.75 544 335,944 501.91 -315,733 356,155

Recapital Borong 51.700 Lot Saham BUMI

Investor lokal mulai tertarik untuk mengakumulasi saham Bumi Resources (BUMI). Hal itu terlihat dari aksi borong yang dilakukan investor lokal melalui broker Recapital Securities. Broker yang terkenal "dekat" dengan keluarga Bakrie ini memborong 51.700 lot saham BUMI di harga rata-rata Rp 2.524.

Selain melalui Recapital, investor lokal juga memborong saham BUMI melalui Dinamika Usahajaya sebanyak 21.165 lot dan melalui Waterfront Securities Indonesia sebanyak 23.259 lot. 

Investor asing tetap memburu saham BUMI. Hari ini aksi pembelian dilakukan melalui UBS Securities Indonesia sebanyak 43.826 lot dan DBS Vickers Securities Indonesia sebanyak 30.757 lot.

Akibat aksi beli investor lokal dan asing ini, harga saham BUMI naik Rp 100 menjadi Rp 2.550. 

Sebelumnya, pada Jumat lalu, UBS juga telah memborong 50.202 lot saham BUMI. Sedangkan Deutsche Securities yang pada Kamis memborong 108 ribu lot saham BUMI hanya menjual 8.085 lot. (lihat berita sebelumnya: UBS Koleksi Saham BUMI).

1 LK RECAPITAL SECURITIES 174 51,700 2,524.27 9 4,428 2,546.69 47,272 56,128
2 AK UBS SECURITIES INDONESIA 277 43,826 2,527.41 8 3,000 2,536.67 40,826 46,826
3 DP DBS VICKERS SECURITIES INDONESIA 171 30,757 2,514.31 6 2,850 2,536.67 27,907 33,607
4 SQ DINAMIKA USAHAJAYA 97 21,165 2,549.88 4 71 2,546.13 21,094 21,236
5 FZ WATERFRONT SECURITIES INDONESIA 170 23,259 2,534.20 19 2,682 2,521.92 20,577 25,941
103 YJ LAUTANDHANA SECURINDO 58 8,486 2,516.24 99 26,159 2,542.19 -17,673 34,645
104 CC MANDIRI SEKURITAS 14 1,135 2,544.32 121 24,034 2,530.84 -22,899 25,169
105 PD INDO PREMIER SECURITIES 162 5,132 2,514.89 479 36,163 2,521.81 -31,031 41,295
106 CP VALBURY ASIA SECURITIES 92 9,205 2,538.61 184 46,646 2,514.00 -37,441 55,851

CIMB Niaga Rights Issue di Harga Rp 1.065

PT Bank CIMB Niaga Tbk menawarkan harga rights issue Rp 1.065 dengan rincian setiap 17 pemegang saham lama berhak atas satu HMETD. Total saham baru yang ditawarkan berjumlah 1.407.933.156 dengan nilai nominal Rp 50, sehingga dana yang bakal diraup mencapai Rp 1,49 triliun lebih.

Jumlah saham baru yang ditawarkan ini setara dengan 5,58% dari total saham yang disetor penuh. Dengan demikian, rights issue ini berpotensi mendilusi kepemilikan pemegang saham lama sekitar 5,56% jika tidak ikut serta.

Tanggal cums HMETD di pasar regular dan negosiasi ditetapkan 22 Desember 2010 dan tanggal ex-HMETD di pasar tunai (tidak berhak lagi) jatuh pada 29 Desember 2010. Distribusi HMETD akan dilakukan pada 29 Desember 2010 dan periode perdagangan HMETD 30 Desember 2010-7 Januari 2011.


Pembayaran terakhir bagi yang ingin berpartisipasi jatuh pada tanggal 10 Januari 2011.


Riset Bisi International oleh Kim Eng Sekuritas

Riset Bisi International oleh Kim Eng Sekuritas. Target harga dinaikkan dari Rp 1.150 menjadi Rp 1.400. Melihat harga saat ini yang sudah melampaui target harga, Kim Eng merekomendasikan jual.
 
Riset Bisi International Oleh Kim Eng Sekuritas                                                                                                                                   

Riset Asahi Flat Glass oleh Kim Eng Sekuritas

Riset Asahi Flat Glass oleh Kim Eng Sekuritas. Target harga dinaikkan dari Rp 6.050 menjadi Rp 7.400. Kim Eng memproyeksikan pertumbuhan penjualan AMFG sebesar 1% untuk kaca flat dan 15% untuk kaca film otomotif tahun depan.
 
Riset Asahi Flat Glass Oleh Kim Eng Sekuritas                                                                                                                                   

Riset Strategi Saham November oleh HD Capital

Strategy-November (08-11-2010) (BUY):   "Menuju diatas IHSG 3.750"
  • Liquidity run: Adanya kucuran dana global dari stimulus the Fed memperkuat tren di komoditas dan emerging market yang dapat memperkuat rupiah dan membuat pasar saham Indonesia (walaupun tidak murah) masih dalam bull run. Beberapa analis asing optimis bahwa investasi di non-dollar asset untuk 1 tahun kedepan dapat menghasilkan return 35-50%.
  • Earnings & index outlook 2011F upgraded: Analis fundamental asing maupun lokal membuat proyeksi target IHSG 12-bulan kedepan dari 4.200 hingga 5.700 dengan asumsi pertumbuhan laba emiten 20-22%. Hal ini dapat menolong skenario market pricing in scenario tersebut dalam bentuk rally ke 3.750 dengan potensi ke 3.800 pada akhir bulan ini.
  • Optimisme ke Q4: Pasar mulai optimistis terhadap perbaikan kinerja Q4 2010, terutama di sektor consumer (ASII, INDF) & batubara (ADRO, BUMI, PTBA) sehingga dapat mendorong IHSG ke target Fibonnaci 161% di 3.750.
  • Index Movers: Pergerakan IHSG akan di dominasi oleh saham berkapitalisasi paling besar yaitu Astra International (ASII), Telekomunikasi (TLKM), Bank BRI (BBRI), & Indofood (INDF). Semua saham ini kecuali BBRI sudah terdiskon lebih dari 10% sejak koreksi dari high mereka Oktober lalu. Telkom (TLKM) sudah koreksi 12% and diperdagangkan di 13x 2011F PE, di bawah valuasi 14.5 2011F PE IHSG & ROE 2010 27% (di atas average market) sehingga membuatnya layak untuk akumulasi.
 
 
Rekomendasi Portofolio & Target Price 1-bulan:
Ticker
TP 1 bln
PER10
PBV10
ROE10
ADRO
Rp.2.450
32x
3.6x
12%
PTBA
Rp.22.500
25x
7x
31%
BBRI
Rp.14.000
17x
4.5x
27%
BUMI
Rp.2.600
19x
3.5x
18%
TLKM
Rp.8.500
13x
3.7x
28%
ASII
Rp.63.000
17x
4.8x
30%
INDF
Rp.5.700
15x
3.8x
25%
 
Dibuat oleh: 
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research HD Capital. 

Rekomendasi IPO Bumi Resources Mineral

Analisa IPO Bumi Resources Mineral oleh HD Capital
Sektor: Mining (Metal and Mineral mining)
Mkt Cap: Rp 2.7 Triliun
Analyst Rating (BUY)
 
Business Summary:
  • Pertambangan tembaga, emas, timah dan seng.
 
Sector Comparison
  • Dari segi valuasi, Bumi Resources Mineral merupakan yang termahal di sektor pertambangan mineral setelah TINS (karena baru beroperasi selama setahun), namun memiliki profitabitas tertinggi, net profit margin  (NPM) 278% akibat untung selisih kurs dan bagian atas laba bersih perusahaan asosiasi (Newmont NNT).
 
Mining PER10 PBV10 ROE10 NPM10 DER10
BRM 25x
2% 278.00% 1.01%
INCO 12.4x 3.45x 27% 35% 0.44%
ANTM 20x 3x 14% 17% 0.20x
TINS 24x 4.15x 17% 8% 0.32x
 
  • Rasio utang ke ekuitas (DER) tertinggi di sekornya (1.01x) namun akan terpotong signifikan pasca IPO nantinya. Sifat perusahaan seperti induknya BUMI, dimana utang tinggi namun perusahaan cukup menguntungkan untuk offset biaya servicing utang membuatnya tetap menarik.
  • Rekomen membeli IPO ini karena dengan berjalannya waktu PER akan turun akibat masuknya laba perseroan untuk FY2010-11 dan beban bunga yang diperkirakan turun pasca IPO nantinya.
 
Dibuat oleh: 
Senior Research HD Capital

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 15 November 2010

Untuk Senin, 15 November 2010, HD Capital merekomendasikan empat saham pilihan dengan opsi beli, yakni Astra International (ASII), Astra Agro Lestari (AALI), Bank Central Asia (BBCA), dan Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM).

BUY: (ASII, AALI,BBCA, TLKM)
  • Walaupun IHSG terkoreksi cukup tajam Jumat lalu, namun rupiah yang tetap stabil dan net selling asing yang tipis (Rp 200m total volume 5T) bahwa ini hanya kejadian portofolio rebalancing biasa oleh asing dan tidak ada capital outflow serius sehingga potensi technical rebound dapat terjadi.
  • IHSG close (12-08) 3.665.85(-78.554/-2.10%) (Val.Rp.5T)
  • Support:3.630-3.580, Resistance: 3.690-3.770-3.850

Stock picks:

1.    Astra International (ASII): (BUY) (Target: Rp 59.000) (close 12/11 Rp 56.800)
  • Pasar optimistis terhadap kenerja penjualan November dan proyeksi earnings outlook ke depan sehingga potensi untuk mengetes resistance di garis upper triangle Rp 59.000 terbuka pasca rebound dari lower end triangle support di Rp 55.000. 
  • Entry: (1) Rp 56.800, Entry (2) Rp 55.300, Cut loss point: Rp 54.800

2.   Astra Agro Lestari (AALI) (BUY): (Target: Rp 28.000) (Close 12/11 Rp 26.100)
  • Warning adanya global inflation oleh beberapa analis membuka peluang untuk naiknya soft komoditas terutama CPO sehingga rekomen akumulasi emiten CPO dengan market cap terbesar di sektornya yaitu AALI.
  • Entry (1) Rp 26.100, (2) Rp 25.200, Cut loss point: Rp 24.500

3.   Bank BCA (BBCA) (BUY): (Target: Rp 7.300) (close 12/11 Rp 6.900)
  • NPM 2010 tertinggi di sektornya akibat loan portfolio kualitas tinggi memberikan daya tarik tersendiri bagi BBCA yang juga menarik secara teknikal ini untuk meneruskan up-trend.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 6.900, Entry: (2) 6.800, Cut loss point: Rp 6.700

4.    Telekomunikasi (TLKM): (BUY) (Target: Rp 8.600) (close 12/11 Rp 8.250)
  • Koreksi 3.00% (melebihi IHSG) yang terjadi dapat digunakan sebagai kesempatan akumulasi untuk mengikuti proses pembalikan arah tren yang menuju ke resistance garis down-trend-lined Rp 8.500-8.800.
  • Entry: (1) Rp 8.250, Entry (2) Rp 8.100, Cut loss point: Rp 7.800


Dibuat oleh:
Yuganur Wijanarko
Senior Research. (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)