Danatama Angkat Saham Bumi Resources

Broker Danatama Makmur (yang terkenal dekat dengan Grup Bakrie) tercatat mengangkat saham Bumi Resources dengan memborong 30 ribu lot pada menit 15:56 atau menjelang penutupan pasar. Danatama membeli di harga Rp 2.225 ketika saham BUMI masih diperdagangkan pada harga Rp 2.200.


Aksi ini sukses membuat harga saham BUMI naik menjadi Rp 2.250 atau naik Rp 175 (8,43%) dari harga sehari sebelumnya. Harga Rp 2.250 kian mendekati harga non-preemptive rights BUMI yang akan dieksekusi pada harga Rp 2.366. Melihat aksi "penjagaan" ini, peluang harga saham BUMI untuk naik paling tidak mendekati harga pre-emptive bisa terjadi.


Untuk perdagangan sepanjang hari ini, broker Deutsche Securities Indonesia memborong 53.031 lot saham BUMI di harga rata-rata Rp 2.139. Investor asing juga masuk melalui Samuel Sekuritas yang pernah memfasilitasi pencarian pinjaman dari CIC Tiongkok ke BUMI.

Danatama (kode perdagangan II) masuk ke BUMI menit-menit terakhir:

BUMI	RG	2,250	2	OD	D	LG	D	155838
BUMI	RG	2,250	10	OD	D	MG	D	155838
BUMI	RG	2,225	56	LS	D	LG	D	155837
BUMI	RG	2,225	144	II	D	LG	D	155837
BUMI	RG	2,225	37	II	D	YP	D	155835
BUMI	RG	2,225	8	II	D	CD	D	155830
BUMI	RG	2,225	6	II	D	PD	D	155828
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	PD	D	155825
BUMI	RG	2,225	9	II	D	OD	D	155818
BUMI	RG	2,225	100	II	D	YU	D	155818
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	YP	D	155817
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	NI	D	155816
BUMI	RG	2,225	500	II	D	DP	D	155814
BUMI	RG	2,225	200	II	D	YU	D	155812
BUMI	RG	2,225	3000	II	D	BZ	D	155812
BUMI	RG	2,225	100	II	D	ZP	D	155810
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	PD	D	155809
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	AZ	D	155805
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	OD	D	155802
BUMI	RG	2,250	20	YP	D	MG	D	155755
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	GR	D	155755
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	PD	D	155752
BUMI	RG	2,225	2	II	D	NI	D	155749
BUMI	RG	2,225	1000	II	D	AI	F	155748
BUMI	RG	2,250	20	LG	D	MG	D	155748
BUMI	RG	2,225	3	II	D	YP	D	155747
BUMI	RG	2,225	4	II	D	PD	D	155746
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	OD	D	155743
BUMI	RG	2,225	15	II	D	YP	D	155742
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	YP	D	155741
BUMI	RG	2,225	100	II	D	RF	D	155740
BUMI	RG	2,225	3	II	D	PD	D	155739
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	PD	D	155739
BUMI	RG	2,225	7	II	D	ZP	D	155739
BUMI	RG	2,225	100	II	D	OD	D	155733
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	IP	D	155730
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	GR	D	155728
BUMI	RG	2,225	4	II	D	BR	D	155723
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	KK	D	155722
BUMI	RG	2,225	100	II	D	CS	D	155721
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	NI	D	155721
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	AY	D	155718
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	YP	D	155718
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	PD	D	155718
BUMI	RG	2,225	200	II	D	PI	D	155716
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	YP	D	155716
BUMI	RG	2,225	25	II	D	OD	D	155715
BUMI	RG	2,225	25	II	D	KK	D	155714
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	PD	D	155713
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	TX	D	155712
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	NI	D	155708
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	YP	D	155707
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	LS	D	155706
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	GR	D	155703
BUMI	RG	2,225	200	II	D	KI	D	155653
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	RF	D	155652
BUMI	RG	2,225	6	II	D	OD	D	155651
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	CC	D	155646
BUMI	RG	2,225	36	II	D	KK	D	155644
BUMI	RG	2,225	30	II	D	YU	D	155643
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	GR	D	155642
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	PD	D	155641
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	DR	D	155639
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	CP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	2	II	D	BP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	50	II	D	KI	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	ES	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	GR	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	2	II	D	NI	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	GR	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	CP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	18	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	KK	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	2	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	LS	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	7	II	D	BP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	2	II	D	OD	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	25	II	D	NI	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	3	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	KK	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	200	II	D	PD	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	5	II	D	CP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	LS	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	9	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	500	II	D	AN	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	PD	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	YO	F	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	50	II	D	EP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	20	II	D	SQ	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	3	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	110	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	15	II	D	PD	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	10	II	D	NI	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	3	II	D	NI	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	200	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	1	II	D	LS	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	280	II	D	YP	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	3	II	D	PD	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	1500	II	D	RF	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	50	II	D	PD	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	100	II	D	MG	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,225	495	II	D	BZ	D	155637
BUMI	RG	2,200	50	YU	F	YP	D	155637

Transaksi broker BUMI:

1	DB	DEUTSCHE SECURITIES INDONESIA	588	53,031	2,139.44	7	1,473	2,128.39	51,558	54,504
2	II	DANATAMA MAKMUR	394	30,000	2,225.00	5	1,100	2,156.82	28,900	31,100
3	IF	SAMUEL SEKURITAS INDONESIA	286	24,864	2,183.35	20	5,368	2,162.40	19,496	30,232
4	KK	PHILLIP SECURITIES INDONESIA	264	21,468	2,175.28	172	4,503	2,162.76	16,965	25,971
5	SH	ARTHAVEST TBK.	112	15,630	2,152.45	15	3,298	2,200.02	12,332	18,928
6	HD	HORTUS DANAVEST TBK.	124	16,130	2,131.65	5	4,040	2,112.62	12,090	20,170
101	FS	AMCAPITAL INDONESIA	144	18,322	2,144.83	117	27,840	2,146.13	-9,518	46,162
102	PD	INDO PREMIER SECURITIES	219	3,959	2,129.84	686	17,910	2,155.08	-13,951	21,869
103	YP	ETRADING SECURITIES	282	14,292	2,131.31	791	30,362	2,169.85	-16,070	44,654
104	KZ	CLSA INDONESIA	-	-	-	145	29,900	2,148.49	-29,900	29,900

  Lihat berita juga:
Danatama Mulai Borong Saham Bumi Resources

Bumi aims to raise $362 mln in share sale

Bumi Resources (BUMI), Indonesia's biggest coal miner, said on Friday it aims to raise 3.24 trillion rupiah ($362 million) in a share placement in September.

The firm will sell 1.37 billion new shares in a placement closing on September 30 at a price of 2,366 rupiah per share. The amount targeted was lower that the company's previous expectation to raise $495 million by selling up to 10 percent stake.

Dileep Srivastava, a Bumi director, told Reuters that it was the first part of the company's plan to deleverage its debt by up to $800 million by the fourth quarter this year. Source: Reuters

Barclays Capital sees record high copper, tin 2011

Copper and tin prices could hit record high annual average prices in 2011 on a strong consumption outlook and supply tightness, Barclays Capital said in a note on Thursday.

"Copper and tin have the greatest price upside, given that both these metals face severe mine supply constraints," the bank said.

For copper in particular, robust demand from China will help drive global inventories to all-time lows early next year, Barclays said, a key driver behind price gains.

Barclays expected copper prices to average $8,000 a tonne in the fourth quarter of this year. Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $7,855 a tonne at 1412 GMT on Thursday. It reached a record high of $8,940 in July, 2008.

Copper stocks held in LME-registered warehouses hit historic lows below 30,000 tonnes in July 2005, just a fraction of the global market forecast at 19 million tonnes this year. 

Since February, these stocks have dropped by one third to 380,125 tonnes from February's six-year highs of 555,075 tonnes.

China is the world's top consumer of base metals, accounting for roughly one third of global demand for the metal used in power and construction last year.

Barclays expected tin to average at $22,250 in the fourth quarter of the year, rising to just shy of $27,000 by the end of the second quarter, 2011, due to protracted supply constraints out of top tin exporter Indonesia. 

Indonesia's refined tin exports in August fell 5.6 percent from the same month a year ago as heavy rains hampered mining, continuing a trend of declining output this year. 

The rains could cut refined tin output by 20 percent this year to around 80-85,000 tonnes, in line with analyst forecasts, Indonesia said. 

On the LME, tin stood at $23,475 a tonne at 1351 GMT, down from two-year highs of $23,800 hit last week. Source: Reuters

Indonesia Oil and Gas Report Q4 2010

The latest Indonesia Oil & Gas Report forecasts that the country will account
for 4.94% of Asia Pacific regional oil demand by 2014, while providing 10.86% of
supply. Regional oil use of 21.42mn b/d in 2001 is set to reach a forecast
27.15mn b/d in 2010, then to rise to around 30.21mn b/d by 2014. Regional oil
production was around 8.35mn b/d in 2001 and is forecast to average an estimated
8.82mn b/d in 2010. It is set to increase only slightly to 8.89mn b/d by 2014.
Oil imports are growing rapidly, because demand growth is outstripping the pace
of supply expansion. In 2001 the region was importing an average 13.07mn b/d.
This total will rise to a projected 18.32mn b/d in 2010 and is forecast to reach
21.32mn b/d by 2014. The principal importers will be China, Japan, India and
South Korea. By 2014 the only net exporter will be Malaysia. 

In terms of natural gas, in 2010 the region will consume an estimated 496bcm and
demand of 625bcm is targeted for 2014. Production of a forecast 415bcm in 2010
should reach 522bcm in 2014, which implies net imports rising from around 81bcm
to 104bcm. This is thanks to many Asian gas producers being major exporters.
Indonesias share of gas consumption in 2010 is expected to be 7.68%, while its
share of production is put at 18.31%. By 2014, its share of gas consumption is
forecast to be 7.23%, with the country accounting for 15.71% of supply. 

Source: Reuters

Gas Negara May Spend $250 Million to Build Indonesian LNG Import Terminal

PT Perusahaan Gas Negara, Indonesia’s biggest distributor of the fuel, may allocate $250 million to build a liquefied natural gas receiving terminal in Belawan, North Sumatra province, next year, an executive said. 

Gas Negara, based in Jakarta, will use internal cash and bank loans to finance the project, Finance Director Riza Pahlevi Tabrani said today in Jakarta. He didn’t provide details.

Indonesia, the world’s largest LNG exporter after Qatar and Malaysia, is increasing investment in infrastructure to meet rising domestic and overseas demand for the cleaner-burning fuel. 

The Belawan terminal will receive LNG shipments from Tangguh field in Indonesia’s Papua, Investor Daily Indonesia reported Sept. 7, citing President Director Hendi Prio Santoso.

LNG is natural gas that has been cooled to liquid for shipping to markets beyond the reach of pipelines.Source: Bloomberg

Indonesia's Telkom eyes acquisitions in SE Asia

* Looking for acquisitions in Asia as sees home mkt maturing

* Capital expenditure in 2011 seen steady at $2 bln

JAKARTA, Sept 23 (Reuters) - PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM), Indonesia's biggest phone firm, said on Thursday it is looking at acquisitions in Southeast Asia as it sees its domestic market maturing.

Indonesia, Southeast Asia's biggest economy, has become one of the world's most crowded telecommunications markets, with 11 operators fighting for custom in a population of 237 million.

"Telkom is looking for acquisition opportunities in Southeast Asia, including mobile phone providers as our market is starting to mature," said CEO Rinaldi Firmansyah.

"We need a new market but we will not go to Africa.. It's too far...But in Asia we're open for any acquisition possibilities," he said on the sidelines of a conference.

Telkom, which rarely comments on regional expansion, tried last year to acquire a stake in Iran Telecom but failed as it lacked backing from Indonesia's government.

Firmansyah did not say how big the firm's warchest would be, but said earlier on Thursday that it sees capital expenditure in 2011 at about $2 billion. "We see the same capex for next year at about $2 billion to finance our infrastructure projects as well as maintenance," said Firmansyah.

Telkom needs to invest heavily in telecoms infrastructure such as towers, and is also shifting its focus to data services to earn higher profits as Indonesian subscriber growth slows. Source: Reuters

A New Indonesian Consumer Era by Trimegah Securitas

A New Indonesian Consumer Era

Empat Tips Memilih Saham yang Bagus

Analis Senior HD Capital Yuganur Wijanarko memberikan empat tips bagi Anda dalam memilih saham yang patut dikoleksi/dimiliki dalam portofolio investasi, jika berinvestasi di bursa saham.

1. Return on Equity (ROE):  Harus di atas bunga kredit bank

Sebaiknya memilih saham yang memiliki tingkat pengembalian ekuitas (ROE) di atas biaya untuk meminjam dari bank untuk melakukan usaha. Contohnya bila bunga kredit dari bank 11%, maka ROE saham yang dipilih harusnya di atas itu.Fund Manager mengambil langkah yang lebih kompleks, yaitu mencari ROE saham yang lebih tinggi dari ROE emiten IHSG. 

2. Debt to Equity Ratio (ROE): di bawah 2 kali

Meniru cara investasi saham ala Syariah Islam yang tidak memiliki emiten dengan utang tinggi (rasio utang terhada ekuitas di atas 2x) juga bisa mengurangi risiko investasi (jaga-jaga kalo emitennya bangkrut).

Namun seiring dengan keadaan dunia saham yang berubah, bila emiten terlihat akan melakukan aksi korporasi yang jelas untuk mengurangi utang, bisa dilakukan pengecualian. 

3. Positive Earnings (Cari perusahaan untung) 

Sebaiknya memilih emiten dengan pertumbuhan laba positif dan menjauhi perusahaan yang rugi (earnings negatif) 

4. Kapitalisasi besar  & likuid (sering diperdagangkan) 

Hal ini untuk berjaga-jaga agar kita terhindar dari risiko saham tidur (tidak pernah aktif) atau dipermainkan "bandar" karena jika volume saham beredarnya sedikit, gampang sekali harganya dinaikkan atau diturunkan dalam hitungan menit. Source: HD Capital

Rekomendasi Beberapa Sekuritas, 24 September 2010

Berikut rekomendasi dari tiga sekuritas ternama tentang kondisi bursa yang akan terjadi hari ini, Jumat 24 September 2010, termasuk saham-saham pilihan yang patut dicermatin.

1. Trimegah Securities

Masih berlanjutnya tekanan jual menyebabkan IHSG kembali terkoreksi pada Kamis (23/9), dengan diikuti oleh volume perdagangan yang melemah. Adanya support di level 23,6% fibonacci retracement diharapkan dapat menahan laju kejatuhan IHSG. Pergerakan indeks masih cenderung melemah di kisaran 3.300-3.355 hari ini. Saham pilihan BISI dan SGRO.

2. Erdikha Sekuritas

IHSG ditutup melemah 6,15 poin (0,18%)menjadi 3.337,20 kemarin, salah satunya dipicu penurunan sebagian besar saham infrastruktur dan industri dasar. Pelemahan bursa global dan liburnya sebagian bursa Asia turut memengaruhi indeks bergerak mixed.  IHSG cenderung masih mixed pada kisaran 3.300-3.380. Kami merekomendasi saham BISI dan BMRI.

3. Sinarmas Sekuritas

Potensi reversal IHSG masih sangat lemah dan lebih mengarah pada pola konsolidasi. Indeks diperkirakan rentan kembali terkoreksi pada kisaran level 3.294-3.356 Jumat ini. Cermati saham BBNI, UNTR, dan BBRI.

Rekomendasi HD Capital, 24 September 2010

Untuk perdagangan akhir pekan ini, Jumat 24 September 2010, HD Capital merekomendasikan empat saham pilihan untuk dicermatin dengan opsi Buy. Keempat saham itu adalah Indofood Sukses Makmur (INDF), Astra International (ASII), Adaro Energy (ADRO), dan Bank Mandiri (BMRI).

• Bila terjadi koreksi di IHSG rekomen akumulasi untuk antisipasi technical rebound.

• IHSG close (23-09) 3.334.903(-10.384/-0.41%) (Val.Rp.3.7T)

• Support: 3.300-3250-3214, Resistance: 3.390-3.420-3.460

 

Stock picks:

 

1.    Indofood (INDF): (BUY) (Target: Rp 5.600) (close 23/09 Rp 5.450)

• Data inflasi yang diperkirakan lebih rendah &  penguatan positif untuk sektor consumer terutama di INDF mempunyai cost & utang dalam US$.
   
• Bila terjadi pullback ke price gap Rp 5.000-4.950 rekomen akumulasi.

• Entry: (1) Rp 5.000, Entry (2) Rp 4.900, Cut-loss point: Rp 4.750

 

2.    Adaro  Energy (ADRO) (BUY): (Target: Rp 2.150) (Close 23/09 Rp 1.990 )

• Downgrade EPS FY 2010-2011  15% akibat potensi tergerusnya laba dari turunnya produksi akibat curah hujan tinggi sudah tercermin dalam koreksi harga yang sudah berada dalam kisaran oversold.

• Entry (1) Rp 1.960, (2) Rp 1.920, cut-loss point: Rp 1.850

 

3.   Astra International (ASII) (BUY): (Target: Rp 58.500) (Close 23/09 Rp 54.950)

• Valuasi & proyeksi laba per saham (EPS) masih masuk akal karena tren kenaikan penjualan mobil yang didukung oleh BI rate & pertumbuhan GDP kondusif masih akan terus berlangsung hingga memuncak di 2011F, sehingga pasar masih optimistis akan kinerja laba ke depan.

• Entry: (1) Rp 54.500, Entry: (2) 52.500, Cut loss point: Rp 50.000
   

4.   Bank Mandiri  (BMRI) (BUY) (Target: Rp 6.900) (close 23/09 Rp 6.300)

• Rights issue sudah tercermin dalam harga, perseroan optimistis bahwa pasca-rights issue, dana  untuk ekspansi kredit akan tersedia sehinga kinerja 2011F dapat membaik.

• Entry: (1) Rp.6.250, Entry (2) Rp.6.100, Cut-loss point: Rp.5.950

 

Dibuat oleh: 

Yuganur Wijanarko

Senior Research HD Capital. (Yuganur@hdx.co.id)